#比特币2026年行情展望 **January Weekly Double Bottom Emerges: Can the Midline Become the Final Fortress?**



Bitcoin's weekly double bottom pattern is clear—this kind of signal appearing at the end of a decline often indicates a transition from bear to bull. Signals at the weekly level are much more reliable.

Once the neckline is broken through, if the trading volume supports it, the subsequent rally will gain momentum. Even if there is a pullback in the middle, buying interest will step in. The expected target calculation is straightforward: the distance from the neckline to the low point equals the future increase. For example, if the neckline is at 90k and the low point is at 74k, the target is directly at 106k. These two lows and the neckline will repeatedly serve as support levels in the future; if the price tests but does not break below, it becomes more stable.

Once the signal is confirmed, large funds and technical traders will enter the market simultaneously. Market sentiment will instantly shift from hesitation to optimism—altcoins and blockchain concept stocks will also become more active, and the futures and options markets will heat up.

The 2025 market cycle provides two excellent cases: after the double bottom in April, BTC rose from 86,000 to 125,000, a gain of over 50%; the June rally also increased by about 25%. This time? The weekly candlestick forms a doji, then drops below 90,000 to trigger a false breakout, followed by a surge toward around 98,000. Currently, it is repeatedly testing the resistance at 98,000-100,000. As long as the daily midline remains unbroken, there is no problem pushing toward 100,000. There is a high probability of testing 110,000 around the Spring Festival.

ETH's trend is also worth watching. The weekly double bottom forms simultaneously, and after breaking the neckline, it continues to rise steadily. After stabilizing above 3000, it reaches the high-pressure zone of 3300-3400. The upper band on the daily chart has already been broken and is still pushing higher. The final weekly resistance is around 3600. During the Spring Festival, it is expected to reach the 4000 mark.

**Recent Operation References**:

BTC: Long in the 94500-95050 range, target 97000-99000, stop loss at 93800

ETH: Long in the 3250-3300 range, target 3450-3600, stop loss at 3200

But beware—false breakouts with insufficient volume can quickly trap you, and macro policies and regulatory trends can disrupt the rhythm at any time. Market volatility is high, and the probability of consolidation and correction also exists.
BTC-0,76%
ETH-1,89%
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DAOdreamervip
· 01-20 14:12
Talking about the double bottom has been said many times, but whether it can truly rise this time depends on the volume. In my opinion, the probability is a 50-50 chance. This resistance level keeps fluctuating, feeling a bit虚, and I don't feel comfortable until it breaks above 100k. That April surge was indeed impressive, but what about the current macro environment? The Federal Reserve hasn't calmed down. ETH's push to 4000 is a bit aggressive. Let's first stabilize at 3600. Insufficient volume means a false breakout, and there's no doubt about that. I've seen too many cases of quick fake-outs.
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gaslight_gasfeezvip
· 01-20 07:15
Double bottom is here again. Can I avoid losing control this time... I made a decent bottom pick during the April wave, but in June I got trapped for a few months.
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TeaTimeTradervip
· 01-20 03:44
The double bottom pattern is back again. It was played the same way in April and June last year. Now it's still lingering around 98,000. Why does it feel less intense?
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LiquidationTherapistvip
· 01-19 19:45
The double bottom has been discussed quite a bit, but what I fear more is the false breakout. Insufficient volume can really wipe you out in seconds.
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DefiVeteranvip
· 01-17 17:59
I truly believe in double bottoms; the market conditions in April and June of last year proved it. But this current stalemate is a bit unsettling, and I'm just worried about another false breakout. The repeated fluctuations around 98,000 are indeed a bit annoying. If it weren't for the two previous cases of doubling in value, I might have already cut my losses.
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StableGeniusDegenvip
· 01-17 17:59
The double bottom thing is back again. The last time in April was really exciting. Can we have another round this time?
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GasFeeCryBabyvip
· 01-17 17:58
Double bottom thing, it's easy to say but also easy to fall into traps. Last time, it looked like it was about to explode, but the volume couldn't keep up and it just retraced.
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ProposalManiacvip
· 01-17 17:54
I'm already tired of the double bottom logic. The problem is that every time it relies on "policy trends" to back it up, which essentially means—there's an issue with the mechanism itself. Breakouts that don't have enough volume, frankly, indicate that market consensus hasn't truly been reached yet. Repeatedly testing support levels sounds stable, but in reality, it's just re-verifying previous failures. The two increases in 2025 did happen, but can they be replicated? That's the real question to ask.
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TopBuyerBottomSellervip
· 01-17 17:49
Double bottom is here again. Can it hold this time? It seems like the support levels mentioned last time have all been broken.
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SmartContractRebelvip
· 01-17 17:47
It's another double bottom and the middle band. I'm tired of hearing this rhetoric from last year. Why does it always crash down when there's a real breakout?
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