#数字资产市场动态 The recent week’s market movements have left me a bit confused. I remember before the big rally of Bitcoin, I won several trades in a row, everything seemed smooth sailing. But from last week until now, the situation has completely reversed—whenever Bitcoin starts to rise, I begin to bleed. Large positions lose, small positions lose, even Ant’s positions are not spared. Honestly, this feeling of being repeatedly educated is really uncomfortable.

I’ve noticed that many veterans who have been immersed in the crypto world for years are recently getting cut. Thinking about the reason, is it because we’ve long seen through the虚实 of the big cycles? Staying cautious in a bear market has become a target for sniping? The market and the whales seem to be deliberately setting traps for cautious, experienced traders like us. Short-term traders show their skills, while long-term traders can enjoy a comfortable ride if their direction is right; if wrong, they sweat cold.

The key point for breaking the deadlock depends on how tomorrow’s weekly candle closes. I’m mainly watching whether Bitcoin can hold above 95,500. If it can’t, even a second attempt to push higher is pointless, and the market will then slowly decline, cutting losses along the way. Conversely, if it stabilizes at this level, aiming for 98,217, 99,000, or even heading straight for 100,000 is not a dream. As for Ethereum, it’s currently in a situation where the big brother isn’t making moves, and the second in command is acting as the leader. If Bitcoin continues to hold firm, Ethereum will depend on whether it can break through the previous high pressure at 3425; if Bitcoin softens, ETH’s current gains are just bluster.

But regardless of who is shouting about big cycles or which institutions are about to enter, the objective fact is clear: from a higher level, we are still in a bear market, and we haven’t entered a bull market. This logic couldn’t be clearer.

In fact, it’s understandable that there is noise at every moment. Those shouting recklessly have zero cost—after all, they don’t need to pay taxes on their words. The real cost is borne by those who dare to see, dare to shout, dare to act—they have to pay fees and bear capital pressure. Even if you only operate with Ant’s positions, every opportunity you see and every opinion you voice carries this responsibility.

My strategy is simple: remain firmly bearish—that’s my judgment on the big cycle. If I make mistakes in short-term trades, I won’t resist the stop-loss; I’ll cut losses with 200% margin. Even if I miss out on the long-term bull run this time, I won’t regret it—my plan is to slowly grind through short-term trades, step by step find the feel, and re-enter with large positions at low leverage once I identify good entry points. I believe the losses can be recovered quickly, with profit added, and there’s plenty of room to grow. Keep a close eye on market movements, exchanging time for data and patience.