2026-01-18 18:27:52

Ethereum's latest price is 3335, and during the early hours Beijing time, the market still maintains support at 3250. Recent market movements are indeed testing patience—while the trend is clearly upward, the order book is still repeatedly testing chips. Based on historical experience, the main force is likely to first induce a sharp dip to trap sellers, then initiate a unilateral rally.

From the daily K-line chart, the EMA trend indicator is about to break through the key level of 3170. Once broken, a strong phase will begin. This week's focus is whether it can reach the 3590 level at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line. The key depends on how much selling volume remains at the previous high of 3400. The MACD is continuously expanding upward, with DIF and DEA already diverging above the zero line. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is at 3415—northbound direction remains unchanged.

The four-hour chart looks even more promising. A standard ascending flag pattern has formed, with support at 3287 and resistance at the previous high of 3400. MACD is decreasing in size, with DIF and DEA contracting above the zero line, and a golden cross is already emerging. The resistance at the upper Bollinger Band is at 3342. If the price pulls further upward and breaks through the upper band, causing the Bollinger Bands to open, combined with the MACD golden cross, the northbound move will be confirmed.

Short-term operational reference: if the support at 3250-3200 holds, it is valid support with a stop loss of 40 points, targeting 3300-3400, and a break below to 3450. If resistance at 3350-3400 is encountered and the price moves south, stop loss at 40 points, targeting 3300-3250, and a break below to 3200.

Real-time market data shall prevail. This article is for reference only; please trade at your own risk.

ETH-0,77%

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MerkleDreamer

· 01-20 10:32

Getting trapped again? It's always the same trick. The main players really love playing mind games.

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MEVHunter

· 01-19 21:06

3250 is really a strong support line, but I'm more concerned about the trap of false dips and fakeouts—how many times has the main force used this trick? We're still falling for it. The moment the Bollinger Bands open up is actually a paradise for MEV, those sandwich attack bots in the mempool have already queued up. Sounds good, but don't get fooled by the chips before 3400. A 40-point stop loss is a bit tight. DIF and DEA are diverging on the 0 axis... Basically, it's a bet on whether the momentum will be strong enough later. I’m familiar with this rhythm. When a golden cross appears, it's best to clearly see if it's a real golden cross or a false breakout. Historical experience shows 99% of the time, it's been exploited by the main force. That 3590 line is indeed tempting, but if you ask me, 3450 is the real arbitrage space—the price difference is right there. The most feared thing about this flag pattern is a sudden gas war that directly hits the daily limit up. Short-term trading risks are really high. Order book data is always lagging; I still trust on-chain data a bit more. This market feels like it’s constantly being refined... Only those with a strong mindset can make money. I can't wait around.

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DegenMcsleepless

· 01-19 19:13

Coming back to mind games? If we can't hold 3250, let's just go straight to wearing underwear. --- MACD golden cross signal? Bro, I just want to see if this time it's a real golden cross or a fake fall. --- Is the main force trying to trap buyers again? I bet five bucks this sharp drop will still take us three hours to deal with. --- Breaking 3400 and flying? Don't be silly, can the chips let you leave comfortably? --- Those still watching the market at dawn are real men. I've already laid down, waiting for the result. --- The ascending flag pattern box sounds impressive, but I'm just worried it's another chart trick. --- Bollinger upper band at 3342? I bet it will fluctuate around this level for two hours. --- Stop-loss at 40 points? Just listen, I might have already been wiped out with my physique, haha. --- Golden ratio at 3590? Let's see if I can survive to 3400 first, brother. --- DIF and DEA spreading out... These professional terms give me a headache. I just want to know when it will go up.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 01-18 18:57

If the main force tries to trap more buyers with this move, I will dump the market. Can we hold at 3250? It's another frustrating market, constantly claiming a breakdown but still bouncing within the range. I'm optimistic about that golden cross line, but don't trust it too much. Last time, it was the same story. If we can really break 3400, then I would believe this rally is genuine. For now, let's just watch and see. The rhythm of this market feels a bit off; it seems like the main force is testing the waters.

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notSatoshi1971

· 01-18 18:56

Trying to trap again? I bet it will crash this morning; just buy on dips and it's all over.

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-18 18:53

If the 3250 support level cannot hold, the technical validation will be completely invalidated. Only a break below 3170 is the true confirmation signal; it's still too early to say the trend is upward. The MACD golden cross or not, evidence often shows it appears during the trap phase. I'm a bit skeptical about this round of chip distribution; how much selling pressure remains at the previous high of 3400? I need to see real data to confirm the Bollinger Bands opening argument; otherwise, it's just theoretical discussion. A 40-point stop-loss is too tight; if there's a sudden spike, it could lead to liquidation. Breaking the 3287 support is the key; jumping to conclusions now is a bit hasty.

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TokenVelocity

· 01-18 18:46

Are we going to manipulate the market again? I knew this trick all along, getting chopped up by the same bunch of retail investors every time. Wait, can 3250 really hold? Feels like the main players are lurking below. The frustrating mentality is real; this market’s constant tug-of-war is killing me. Breaking 3400 is the real deal; everything else is just wishful thinking. At this pace, 3590 probably won't be reached until next week. Is no one mentioning the double top risk? It looks to me like they’re forming a top. The 4-hour ascending flag is okay, but the golden cross seems a bit fake. If 3200 breaks, I have to run, no discussion. The Bollinger Bands opening up doesn’t matter; the key is whether the volume can keep up. Stop loss at 40 points? That's too greedy; I’ll just set it at 50 points for safety.

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YieldHunter

· 01-18 18:45

ngl the whole "golden ratio 0.382" thing feels kinda arbitrary here... actually if you look at the data, these support levels break more often than people think. risk-adjusted metrics suggest 3200 holds or we're seeing real capitulation. idk, maybe i'm just paranoid but the liquidity profile doesn't scream sustainable push to 3590.

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NotSatoshi

· 01-18 18:32

Here we go again, tired of this routine already --- 3250, can we hold it? Feeling exhausted --- The main force is trying to trap buyers again, I really dare to bet they will --- When the Bollinger Bands open up, I go all in, just that straightforward --- Waiting for 3200 to buy the dip, promised not to waver --- Feels like this wave will go up to 3400, but I’m still hesitant --- Is the 4-hour golden cross coming? A bit期待 --- Can 3590 really be reached? Feels like overthinking --- Break 3400 and buy, simple and brutal --- Manipulating chips is just cutting me, right? --- History repeats itself, after trapping buyers, it will take off

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ChainWanderingPoet

· 01-18 18:31

Still teasing, whether to hold at 3250 is the real question.

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