2026-01-18 21:25:09

Bitcoin is currently testing around $95,000 repeatedly, with many people watching the $100,000 threshold. In the short term, the continuous net inflow into spot funds has indeed provided some momentum, but the risk of a pullback is also evident.

Institutional mid-term views are quite divided. Some see $70,000, others see $150,000, mainly fluctuating within this range, with liquidity and regulatory policies being the main uncertain factors.

Looking at a longer cycle, the divergence is even greater. The optimistic camp can call for $200,000-$250,000, while the pessimistic camp believes a drop back to $10,000-$50,000 is not impossible. Ultimately, the direction depends on macroeconomic performance and how major institutions allocate.

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ContractTester

· 01-21 18:04

100,000 is the threshold, let's forget about it now. Net inflow can't last much longer. --- Institutional decentralization, let it be. After all, it's all after-the-fact armchair quarterbacking. --- To be honest, no one can predict the macro situation. Watching how big institutions move is the real key. --- Pessimists calling for 10,000-50,000 I believe, but there's no need to panic too much. --- Liquidity and regulation are the real trump cards. --- Short-term net inflow? Don't be fooled; the risks are still there. --- 200,000 to 250,000? Dream on. Let's first see the 70,000 support level. --- Various institutions say different things. I still believe in the macro cycle approach.

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NftBankruptcyClub

· 01-21 09:51

Is the 100,000 integer barrier really that hard to break? Where's the breakout to a new high? --- Different institutions have different opinions. Isn't this just all gambling? No one dares to go all in. --- Liquidity and regulation, these two killers, are really annoying. --- Optimistic to 250,000, pessimistic down to below 50,000. This range is just too outrageous. --- Who can truly see through the macroeconomic variables? --- Spot funds are aggressively accumulating, but I still feel a bit uneasy. --- Short-term momentum is strong, but the risks are also a bit tense. --- Diverse opinions among institutions = no one dares to bet, right? --- Let's wait until major institutions actually allocate, small investors are just here to follow along. --- Repeated tests at the 95,000 level, feeling a bit fake.

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SatoshiChallenger

· 01-20 17:39

9.5K position has already started various grand narratives, interesting. Data shows that historically, whenever approaching an integer threshold, retail investor sentiment is most likely to spiral out of control. --- Institutional opinions are scattered? Ironically, that's just a polite way of saying they have no opinion. Once liquidity dries up, you'll all be looking at 70,000. --- Shouting about 200,000-250,000 happily, but falling back to 10,000-50,000 is "not impossible," what kind of analysis is this? Such a wide range basically means nothing was said. --- I'm not trying to be contrarian, but anyone who watched the 2017 cycle knows that macroeconomics and institutional allocations, no matter how eloquent, are just post-hoc rationalizations. Those entering now, remember to screenshot in half a year. --- Here we go again, every time they say they need to look at macroeconomics, but what’s the result? The logic chain in the crypto world has always been self-consistent — rising because of optimism, falling also because of optimism to buy the dip. --- The net inflow of spot funds is indeed interesting, but have you thought about how this data would turn around once institutions start reducing their positions? --- Bet a guess, after October, look back at this article, and you'll find the predicted range can cover any trend. This is what you call scientific rigor [sneer].

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MeaninglessApe

· 01-18 21:54

The 100,000 threshold is a psychological barrier. If it can't break through, a pullback is inevitable. I've been optimistic about 70,000 for a long time. --- The large divergence among institutions this time indicates that no one truly understands the market; everyone is just gambling. --- 20-25K? That's wishful thinking. It still depends on the Federal Reserve's stance. --- Liquidity is the key; everything else is just superficial. --- I'm not afraid of 50,000; I'm a long-term holder anyway. --- Net inflow of spot funds is a good sign, but don't be fooled—this is just the bottom. --- Once regulation steps in, everything becomes pointless. The crypto world always follows this pattern.

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0xOverleveraged

· 01-18 21:53

The 100,000 mark feels like a psychological barrier, but once it's broken, it's no big deal. Whether it soars or drops, it still depends on that frustrating macro environment. I just want to ask, do institutions really pay attention to 1-5万? That’s so pessimistic, haha. Are spot funds still bottom-fishing or just taking over? That’s the real question. Liquidity and regulation are both killing us, no wonder it's diversified—I’ve also diversified. Honestly, hearing 200,000 to 250,000 sounds pretty good, but that’ll probably have to wait until the Year of the Monkey.

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FOMOmonster

· 01-18 21:52

Whether 100,000 breaks or not is just an illusion; the key depends on how the Fed bunch messes around --- To put it simply, institutions are also confused, wavering back and forth --- Can a spot fund's net inflow be bragged about? Let’s see who can run faster during the pullback --- Pessimists shouting 10,000-50,000, I just laugh—dream on --- Macroeconomic outlook? We all don’t understand it haha --- Fighting over 70,000-150,000? Might as well bet directly on 200,000 --- How long can this regulatory policy meme last? I’m really drunk on it --- Now, those watching 100,000 are all trying to buy the dip; once it drops, it’s over --- If institutional opinions are so scattered, doesn’t that mean no one can be certain? Then what am I even looking at

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DegenTherapist

· 01-18 21:50

100,000 is just a psychological barrier; whether you break through it or not won't change the overall trend. --- Nowadays, no one dares to make definitive statements; those who speak the loudest often suffer the worst losses. --- Liquidity is really unpredictable; even institutions are playing a guessing game. --- Falling back from 1-50K? I’d just go all-in on short positions. --- The gap between optimists and pessimists is over 50 times; who dares to bet on that? --- Instead of watching the 100,000 mark, it’s better to pay attention to how institutions are currently allocating. --- Once regulation is introduced, the entire situation changes; now all predictions are nonsense. --- Actually, a pullback is an opportunity to get on board; it depends on whether you can withstand the psychological pressure. --- Fund net inflow is a good sign, but don’t be blinded by small profits. --- Honestly, macro factors are the biggest variable; Bitcoin needs to learn from economic cycles.

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zkProofInThePudding

· 01-18 21:48

100,000 is a psychological threshold, but what really matters is where the institutions' chips are --- Pessimists are calling for a drop to 10,000-15,000... That's too outrageous, honestly no one believes it --- Liquidity is like a plug that can be pulled at any time; a regulatory signal can change everything --- I think the key still depends on what the Federal Reserve does next; Bitcoin is a macroeconomic indicator --- 9.5万 keeps testing repeatedly, feeling like it's gathering strength --- Institutional opinions are so divided; frankly, no one can be sure, it's like gambling --- Short-term net inflows are indeed powerful, but don't celebrate too early --- 20-25万 is just a dream, a bit too optimistic

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ContractExplorer

· 01-18 21:33

Is the 100,000 mark really so sacred? It feels more like a psychological price point. Institutional opinions are so divided; frankly, no one dares to bet. Liquidity is the key; the essence of this surge is just capital accumulation. Regulatory moves can cause total loss; this is the hidden minefield. The gap between optimists and pessimists is huge, as if nothing was said. When macro changes happen, all technical analysis becomes useless. Instead of guessing the top, it's better to follow the big institutions; their allocations are the real signals.

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