2026-01-18 21:25:23

LAYER has recently presented a relatively clear short-selling opportunity. On the 4-hour chart, a level S signal has formed, with a success probability of approximately 54%.

From an entry perspective, the price at 0.159934916 faces strong resistance. This level is not unfounded — technical analysis shows it has been tested 22 times by the market, with a key level strength of 65%. Such repeatedly tested levels often become turning points. According to risk management standards, it is recommended to keep the position size within 0.9%, with a stop-loss set at 0.163674202, controlling the risk at 2.34%.

The take-profit targets are divided into three stages: the first target at 0.154325988 corresponds to a 1.5:1 risk-reward ratio; the second target at 0.150586702 corresponds to a 2.5:1 risk-reward ratio; the third target at 0.144977774 corresponds to a 4.0:1 risk-reward ratio. From the Bollinger Bands, the upper band is at 0.166200358, the lower band at 0.152960513, and the Fibonacci 0.618 level is at 0.161142737. These key values support the reasonableness of the above targets.

The technical signal strength score is 83/100, indicating the quality of this signal is quite good. However, it is important to note that the current market is in a consolidation phase, with insufficient daily and slow trend data, and the ADX strength is 29.3. Volume performance is relatively weak, in a low-volume contraction state, with a main volume ratio of only 0.1, and the price shows a stable trend. The market bullish-to-bearish ratio is 1.18:1, with overall sentiment neutral but trending downward. The order book buy-to-sell ratio is 1.52:1, showing a slight advantage for buyers but not significantly.

This signal is valid for 480 minutes, starting from 2026-01-19 04:45:07. It is especially important to emphasize that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and strict position control and stop-loss settings are essential. This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading decisions should be made cautiously based on individual risk tolerance.

ADX-0,57%

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LiquidityHunter

· 01-21 17:20

Has this position at 0.159934916 been tested 22 times? Honestly, it's a bit suspicious. In a volatile market, signals like this are often liquidity traps. The main volume ratio is only 0.1x for shorting? That doesn't seem quite right to me.

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ConsensusDissenter

· 01-21 03:38

54% success rate... This probability is even worse than flipping a coin haha A short signal is good, but I'm just worried about the volume not picking up. Currently, this shrinking volume situation is really awkward. 0.159 is the key level tested 22 times. The turning point is the turning point, but the decline is limited. No matter how beautiful the profit ratio is, it depends on whether it can fall further. Honestly, layer's recent market has been a bit boring. In a volatile market, it's better to watch the show than to participate. This risk control for the order sounds good, but the premise is that you have enough capital to withstand this 2.34% slippage.

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RiddleMaster

· 01-20 14:25

54% success rate? That's about the same as flipping a coin haha Such weak volume, yet still daring to short, that's pretty bold Testing 22 times, where did this number come from? Feels a bit like mysticism So many Bollinger Band data points, my brain is a bit exhausted Position at 0.9% is stable, risk management is understood even by kids When will the real turning point come? I've been waiting so long I've lost track ADX 29.3, this strength is a bit awkward Honestly, at times like this, I'd rather wait and see Think twice before shorting, everyone, this market doesn't seem right No matter how professional you are, the shrinking volume can't be ignored— isn't that a hidden risk?

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WhaleShadow

· 01-20 11:08

54% success rate? I just want to know what to do about the other 46%. This data looks a bit uncertain.

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ApeDegen

· 01-18 21:53

54% success rate? Man, there's quite a bit of gambling involved. I'll wait and see. With such low trading volume, it doesn't seem promising. In a volatile market, shorting is just asking for trouble. Our circle has too many tricks. LAYER is back again. Every time they say the signal quality is good, but what’s the result? Position size at 0.9% is so small, not making much profit anyway. No matter how pretty the data looks, it can't withstand the imbalance of buying and selling power. Stay alert.

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BlockchainFries

· 01-18 21:53

54% success rate? Man, isn't this just flipping a coin, and you’re risking a 0.9% position... --- Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci, ADX... Ugh, same old story. The volume has shrunk, and you still dare to call for a short? --- Wait, only 65% strength after 22 tests? This resistance level is probably just paper-thin. --- 480-minute validity period, here we go again with this fast-food signal. It just annoys me to look at. --- Honestly, an 83-point signal sounds impressive, but the long-short ratio is only 1.18:1, with buyers slightly in the lead... That doesn’t add up. --- Daring to move with a volume ratio of 0.1? Feels like you're trying to fool me into cutting losses. --- Level 3 take profit, I believe it, but only if I can get out. In this market environment, haha.

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GateUser-5854de8b

· 01-18 21:50

54% success rate? Bro, isn't this just gambling? It's even better to flip a coin.

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CrossChainBreather

· 01-18 21:42

54% success rate? This thing is almost like flipping a coin haha --- Another S-grade signal, with volume shrinking as if dehydrated, I dare not act --- Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci, ADX strength... sounds fancy, but can these data be trusted in a volatile market? --- 0.9% position? Such a conservative suggestion indicates the risk is actually quite high --- 480-minute validity period, in simple terms, it's a short-term signal. Missing it isn't a big deal --- The buy-sell ratio of 1.52:1 isn't obvious enough, it seems the main force has little desire --- Shorting LAYER at this position... feels like licking blood off a knife edge

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MindsetExpander

· 01-18 21:26

54% success rate? That's hardly an obvious opportunity. How is it different from flipping a coin?

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