The Irrational Numbers of the Market: Analysis of BTC, ETH, and the Expected Movement

The cryptocurrency market is going through a phase where price behavior follows patterns that are not always logical — these irrational numbers of fluctuations reveal a lot about the collective psychology of investors. Currently, BTC is trading around $77.98K with a 0.95% decline in the last 24 hours, while ETH is at $2.31K with a 3.62% retreat. In this uncertain scenario, the most likely short-term movement follows a predictable trajectory: first a rebound that attracts buyers, followed by a new test of critical supports.

The Rebound Pattern and Critical Levels of BTC

The pressure zone that should serve as the rebound target should not exceed 94,500, with greater focus on the region between 90,000 and 92,000. If the movement gains strength, we can expect an approach to 92,000, which acts as an intermediate resistance. However, the real test will come when prices test the critical support at 87,000.

A quick drop reaching the 85,000 to 86,000 range represents a “more comfortable entry window” in technical terms, as it typically corresponds to a moment when irrational selling pressure concentrates and exhausts itself. Under these circumstances, recovery probabilities improve significantly compared to the current scenario of “hesitation between recovery and consolidation.” This market irrationality — when panic manifests in concentrated liquidations — often marks more robust reversal points.

ETH and Altcoins: The Major Level Already Deteriorated

Regarding Ethereum and altcoins, the scenario is more complex. While BTC may still offer rebounds, the major market level for altcoins is already deteriorated, making the formation of new highs unlikely without significant relevant catalysts. The future will heavily depend on news and developments that bring renewed interest.

Specifically for altcoins, there is very little margin between the current level and a scenario of further decline. This lack of amplitude in the altcoin market is concerning: if there is no sustained upward movement, the inevitable result will be — retail investors will exit the market, preventing new entrants. This dynamic creates a negative cycle where the absence of positive numbers discourages new participants.

The Market Dilemma in 2026

Despite the technical deterioration, there is no reason to completely give up hope for 2026. Even after significant drops, historically there are periods of recovery. However, especially for altcoins, this rebound will depend on factors beyond predictability — in a sense, they are irrational numbers at their core. The critical question is whether these coins will be able to rise or will continue oscillating permanently. The exit of retail investors, the impossibility of new entrants, and even potential exchange closures are real consequences of this stagnation scenario.

If altcoins remain dormant, no miracle in 2026 will be possible without fresh capital entering the market.

Note: Users interested in starting their cryptocurrency journey can explore platforms with robust infrastructure. For reference, some exchanges offer referral codes to optimize trading experiences.