What truly determines the trend is never the point level
Many people focus on the 71K number, but the market cares more about: where is the money coming from, and will it come again. ① Trend Judgment If ETF funds and on-chain activity rise together, the probability of a continued rebound is high; if it's just short-term funds driving it, sustainability is limited. The quality of the market is more important than the height. ② Positioning Strategy My principle: Take profits in stages during an uptrend, buy back in stages during a downtrend. Use rhythm instead of prediction. ③ Policy Impact Non-farm + CPI determine the direction of interest rate expectations; Negotiations and elections influence market sentiment. But what truly drives BTC is still the global liquidity cycle. Closing golden sentence: #Bitcoin rebound In the short term, watch sentiment; mid-term, watch funds; long-term, watch cycles. Finally, a question: If there is intense volatility this week, would you add to your position or reduce it?
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What truly determines the trend is never the point level
Many people focus on the 71K number, but the market cares more about: where is the money coming from, and will it come again.
① Trend Judgment
If ETF funds and on-chain activity rise together, the probability of a continued rebound is high; if it's just short-term funds driving it, sustainability is limited. The quality of the market is more important than the height.
② Positioning Strategy
My principle:
Take profits in stages during an uptrend, buy back in stages during a downtrend.
Use rhythm instead of prediction.
③ Policy Impact
Non-farm + CPI determine the direction of interest rate expectations;
Negotiations and elections influence market sentiment.
But what truly drives BTC is still the global liquidity cycle.
Closing golden sentence: #Bitcoin rebound
In the short term, watch sentiment; mid-term, watch funds; long-term, watch cycles.
Finally, a question:
If there is intense volatility this week, would you add to your position or reduce it?