Israel raids Iran, preparing for a 4-day joint attack. How will crude oil, gold, and US stocks move next?

🛢️ Crude Oil: Likely to surge and fluctuate within 4 days
The key depends on whether the Strait of Hormuz is blocked.
If the strait is blocked, a significant rally is possible, and crude oil prices could break $100.
If the conflict is quick and only involves airstrikes, and Iran does not block the strait, prices may drop back within a week.
A sharp rise in oil prices would indirectly benefit new energy vehicle exports. Tesla shares might rise a bit.
🥇 Gold/Silver:
As safe-haven assets with anti-inflation properties, the triple resonance of logic makes this the most structurally favorable direction right now.
Silver’s industrial attributes add to this, and historically, during such market conditions, volatility tends to be greater.

⚡ US Stocks: Fall first, then stabilize, with structural divergence
Short-term risk aversion causes declines, energy stocks resist falling, and tech growth faces pressure; if the conflict does not escalate, stabilization and recovery are expected around Day 4.