Policy: JPMorgan Claims that the CLARITY Act Could Be Passed by Mid-Year, a Potential Catalyst for the Second Half

Regulatory clarity could arrive sooner than expected. In a new research note, JPMorgan analysts ( led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) highlight that the CLARITY Act — the highly anticipated U.S. market structure bill for digital assets — is gaining strong momentum and could be passed by mid-2026.

This legislation aims to end "regulation through enforcement," clearly delineate oversight between the SEC and the CFTC, facilitate compliance for certain tokens, increase institutional participation, and accelerate tokenization. JPMorgan describes it as a "positive catalyst" for crypto markets in the second half of the year, potentially shifting sentiment from negative to bullish as clearer rules attract major investors.

With odds on Polymarket still solid ( around 63% ), this could be the spark that crypto needs amid current pressures. Watch for Senate debates — the second half of 2026 could look very different!

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