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📊 March 11 (February) CPI Market Expectations (as of March 8)

• Overall CPI MoM: +0.2% (unchanged from January)

• Core CPI MoM: +0.2% (lower than January's 0.3%)

• Core CPI YoY: 2.5% (steady from January)

• Core Logic: MoM slowdown, YoY stability → Inflation cooling, increased expectations of rate cuts

🧠 Impact Assessment on Cryptocurrencies (BTC/ETH)

• ✅ Meets/Below Expectations → Bullish

◦ Strengthened rate cut expectations → Weakening USD, declining US Treasury yields → Capital flows into risk assets

◦ Cryptos are high-beta assets, typically rebounding 2%-5% in the short term

• ⚠️ Above Expectations (especially core >0.2%) → Bearish

◦ Sticky inflation → Federal Reserve delays rate cuts → USD/US Treasury yields rise → Cryptos face pressure

◦ If core MoM >0.3%, it can easily trigger a quick short-term plunge