Tonight at 20:30, the market will迎来 a key US CPI data release. Currently, global funds are generally cautious, coupled with the ongoing tense Middle East situation and escalating US-Iran conflicts, which are putting upward pressure on energy prices. Inflation is likely to show a pattern of easy to rise and difficult to fall. From a macro perspective, the chances of a significant drop in this CPI are low; it is more likely to remain relatively strong. If the data exceeds expectations, it will further solidify the expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates high for longer, further suppressing risk asset sentiment, and night trading volatility will inevitably increase significantly.

As a core indicator reflecting inflation levels, US CPI directly determines the pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts and is a key macro variable that short-term influences Bitcoin's trend. The previous value and market expectation for this data are both 2.4%: if the data exceeds 2.4%, it indicates stronger inflation and reinforces expectations of high interest rates, leading to a weaker BTC; if the data meets expectations, the market will mainly stay on the sidelines, and BTC is likely to fluctuate; if the data is below 2.4%, it indicates cooling inflation and rising expectations for rate cuts, leading to a stronger BTC. $BTC $ETH