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1. Iran still has the capability to prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz
2. The current conflict is led by the US, but whether to cease-fire is determined by Iran
3. Crude oil will definitely be in short supply in the short term, and oil prices and LNG natural gas prices will continue to rise, which is beneficial for US exports, and Europe will be forced to accept high-energy prices
4. AI infrastructure in the Middle East has been destroyed, which is bearish for [text incomplete]