2026-03-17 14:34:44

A month ago, when BTC was at 17K, I gave everyone a bottom-fishing signal

and repeatedly reinforced conviction

hold spot positions

there will be a high point in Q1

now

the cycle is materializing

many people are waiting for the upside

but the real test is

whether you can hold

next, pay attention to one thing

before mid-April

the market has potential for

a liquidation and pullback

the reason is simple

some funds need to realize gains
to complete tax settlements

exactly how low we retest

no one can predict precisely

but structurally

it looks more like a

phase adjustment

rather than a trend reversal

in Q2

there still exists

expectation for new highs

3K is just a structural reference

not the target

as for ADA

it hasn't truly kicked off yet

capital is rotating

rhythm is shifting

at this stage

the easiest mistake to make

isn't getting the direction wrong

but frequently rotating positions

those who understand the structure

will choose to

hold the main thesis

and wait for rotation

rather than chase around

ADA0,49%

View Original

JsBigShark

2026-02-11 12:23:15

This round of decline has two basic scenarios:
One is a continuous downward trend, reaching around 1K, which is highly unlikely.
The other is a rebound around 1700,
which is now.

This year, due to the implementation of regulatory legislation,
there was also a very sharp decline,
and there is a high probability of another.

But before it actually takes effect,
there is often a rebound first.

This is market inertia
and emotional recovery.

The real test
comes after the rules are clarified.

Once the legislation is officially enforced,
centralized exchanges face
not just market trends,
but compliance pressures.

The future standard
will only align with Coinbase.

Capital markets require
transparency, auditing, custody, separation, and compliance reporting.

Those who do not meet the standards
must either rectify or exit.

At that time,
many altcoins
won't just decline,
but will lose trading scenarios.

Once liquidity disappears,
prices naturally drop to zero.

Centralized exchanges
will undergo a structural reshuffle.

Privacy coins,
under strict regulatory frameworks,
will face greater survival challenges.

This is not an emotional judgment,
but regulatory logic.

A bull market can be driven by liquidity,
but long-term sustainability
must rely on rules.

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