The stablecoin supply volume in the first quarter of 2026 will reach $320 billion, with trading volume accounting for 75% of the total cryptocurrency trading volume. In the first quarter of 2026, the total stablecoin supply reached approximately $320 billion, setting a historical high. During the same period, the total trading volume exceeded $28 trillion, accounting for 75% of the total cryptocurrency trading volume — the highest level ever recorded. During the quarter, the USDC supply increased by approximately $2 billion, while the USDT supply decreased by about $3 billion. This is the first noticeable divergence between the two largest stablecoins since 2022; the share of trades executed by automated programs rose to 76%, while retail transfers decreased by 16%. On the global regulatory front: in the US, the GENIUS bill was officially passed on July 7, 2025; in the EU, the MiCA regulation fully came into force and will be enforced for stablecoin provisions starting June 30, 2026; the Hong Kong Monetary Authority ((HKMA)) is advancing the issuance of the first stablecoin licenses.

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Ivan623vip
In recent days, short USDCNY swap points have been constantly decreasing, and even after the quarter ended, the situation with dollar liquidity shortages has not improved. The overnight swap rate for one day has fallen below -6 pips, and the liquidity-providing parties are now more inclined to withhold dollar offers, indicating tension with dollar liquidity within the country.

On Thursday, the intra-China USDCNY O/N one-day swap point dropped to -6.5 pips. According to the overnight yuan rate DR001 at 1.26%, the implied dollar overnight rate reached 4.67%, nearly 100 basis points higher than the overnight SOFR rate (3.68%).
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