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#Has the Market Bottomed Out? #Fed's March Rate Decision##Join Honor Credits Draw & Win MacBook Air and Merch
Current greed and fear indicators point to a sharp decline, dropping significantly to 21, then returning half a year later to the 'extreme fear' zone. By reviewing historical data, in 2022 and August 2023, when similar signals appeared in market greed and fear indicators, excellent buying opportunities emerged at lower prices. Technically, even in the worst cases, a recovery occurred, bringing the market back to previous levels, sometimes surpassing previous levels and reaching new highs. It's also noteworthy that this indicator shows excellent performance in warning of market tops. While it's impossible to guarantee a 100% match of the current market situation with historical cases and accurate predictions, probabilistically, the market seems to be approaching its temporary bottom. However, we must be clear that the subsequent recovery phase is unlikely to be direct, and it's highly probable to be in the form of frequent Whipsaw oscillations, with bullish trend strength gradually accumulating before the primary uptrend begins!
In the current prevailing bullish market environment, alternative cryptocurrencies are suffering from an embarrassing situation where they experience a big dump exceeding 90%. The main reasons for this can be attributed to two main factors. Firstly, the issue of funding shortage in the market is highlighted. Due to the lack of continuous inflow of new funding, the market appears stagnant, lacking vitality or activity. At the same time, various cryptocurrencies are experiencing explosive growth, with their number sharply rising from less than 3000 types in 2017 to over 30 million types now, making it difficult for the market to digest this huge quantity of currencies in the short term. Looking back at the bullish period in 2021, despite the increase in the number of cryptocurrencies, market funding was abundant, hotspots were able to trade diversely, and market activity was high. However, in 2024, the uncontrolled growth in the number of currencies becomes challenging to gather funding, thus exacerbating the imbalance between supply and demand in the market. Secondly, the market lacks new hotspots and the desire of small traders. During this revolutionary period, no new hotspot with strong appeal has emerged as before, leading to a significant decline in the enthusiasm of small traders. In the past, the rise in alternative cryptocurrencies prices usually depended on a large influx of small traders. However, now institutional investors primarily focus on BTC, and with market development, channels for small traders to invest in BTC become easier, making them less interested in investing in alternative cryptocurrencies as before. Consequently, alternative cryptocurrencies face a situation where there are no buyers, leading major entities to lose their reserves incentive. Therefore, for investors, the key to profit from investing in alternative cryptocurrencies lies in understanding the timing of buying accurately. Only when the price is low can one take advantage of market fluctuations later and gain profitable opportunities.