Japan October 2025 Goods Trade Balance: Deficit Weighs on Yen

The Ministry of Finance of Japan released the seasonally adjusted goods trade balance data for October on September 17, 2025. The actual figure was not provided, the forecast was not provided, and the previous value was not provided.Definition: The goods trade balance refers to the difference between a country’s merchandise exports and imports over a specified period. A surplus occurs when exports exceed imports; conversely, a deficit arises when imports surpass exports. As an export-driven economy, a goods trade deficit in Japan results in an outflow of national income, which can dampen overall economic performance.Market impact: If a deficit is reported and the actual figure exceeds forecasts, this is bearish for the yen. Conversely, if a surplus is reported and the actual figure surpasses forecasts, this is bullish for the yen.This indicator is rated as moderately important (level 2). The calculation covers the net difference between merchandise exports and imports, excluding services trade. Data is published monthly in mid-month, with the next release scheduled for the following month.

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