Progress on the Supreme Court tariff case: Trump's chance of winning drops

[Progress of the Supreme Court Tariff Case Debate: Trump's Chances of Winning Drop] The U.S. Supreme Court held oral arguments on Wednesday regarding the legality of Trump's large-scale imposition of reciprocal tariffs. In addition to the liberal justices on the Supreme Court, several conservative justices also raised questions about the legality of Trump's tariffs. Chief Justice John Roberts stated that Trump's tariffs are taxes on Americans, which has always been a core power of Congress. Among the three justices appointed by Trump during his presidency, Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett also posed challenging questions and delved into the arguments of those opposing the tariffs. The conservative justices hold a majority in the Supreme Court, with a ratio of 6:3. The Supreme Court is expected to announce its ruling in December. The prediction platform Polymarket recently indicated that the probability of Trump winning is 27%, down from 40% before the debate, and briefly dropped to a new low of 18% during the hearing.

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