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I should be able to break even tonight. My thinking is looking down to 2080, with an extreme stop loss at 2000. Recently, due to the quarterly options expiration coming up, the price should be maintained near the pain point, meaning it will be suppressed below 2150 until after the expiration next Friday, then consolidate up to 2300. Low probability this month, very low probability of reaching 1400.
This means I need to hold this position for nearly half a month. My current entry price is actually quite satisfactory. I'd rather hold through losses than miss this inevitable opportunity. But after thinking about it for an hour last night, I decided against it. A week is a long time, and many people will cut losses and exit. I might miss many positions. With multiple long positions on hand, if I get a chance to short, I'll short. Once you see it's finished, you're cornered and forced to hedge. Especially if the short position also hits stop loss, you'll be scared, I'll be scared too. In theory, opening both directions means I don't need to stop loss, but I'm afraid it won't follow the pattern and getting stopped out on both sides isn't comfortable either.
In the future, I'll try to do more intraday trading. Putting a wider stop loss is also to protect you guys. With the copy trading amount of 180k, even a percentage-based loss isn't insignificant.
The first time I held through drawdowns was five days of losses. I felt my direction was correct and ultimately profited 30%+ before exiting. The second time was two and a half days with 5% profit, averaging out to decent daily returns. Some people will definitely say I entered wrong and held until reversal, something about trends—did the damn trend reverse in one or two days, four or five days?
I probably break even tonight. About the next script, I didn't want to tell you guys, but if I don't, it'll seem like I'm making excuses afterward. If I do say it, you'll say I'm bragging... Whether it reaches 2300 or 1400, we'll see then.
If it doesn't reach it, pretend I didn't say anything.