SailorSamba
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On-chain Analyst
Market Analyst
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Summarized the opinions of various top traders, and now most traders' views are quite consistent: the market needs a period of adjustment in the short term. Everyone is generally optimistic about $BTC , but the attitude towards alts is generally pessimistic, with most being risk-averse. Apart from a few mainstream alts, most are considered to be entering a bear phase. Although this may sound a bit cliché, I still want to remind you again — the risks of alts should not be underestimated; choosing the wrong coin, even holding Spot, could lead to losses.
Now many alts are no longer being pick
BTC-0.01%
ETH-1.13%
SOL-1.52%
HYPE6.29%
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Wellvip:
Senior, can this YGG coin be held?
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The market is in such a terrible state, yet the top exchanges are still continually listing new coins.
This round of the bull market in the cryptocurrency market gives a feeling of overexploitation, whether it's the exchanges or the projects, the way they are behaving is extremely unappealing, as if everyone believes that if they don't sell now, there won't be a next round. However, that's indeed the case; this round is like this, and we shouldn't have too much hope for the next round either.
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The frenzied period of the crypto world in 2021 is long gone (the crypto world in 2021 was no different from the A-shares around 1991, the era of the newly rich). In the future, there will still be a big bull run in the crypto world, and this bull run will be as amazing as the A-shares in 2007, but it is not an era of newly rich; it belongs to a normal profit-making era. One must seize this opportunity well, as it is a good time for a turnaround in life, but it won't be this year or next... it requires waiting. The crypto world belongs to ultra-high-risk assets, so do not listen to institu
BTC-0.01%
ETH-1.13%
BNB1.62%
SOL-1.52%
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Xianxingvip:
If Ethereum falls behind, your big metaphor is that Taobao is stronger than Amazon, but the problem is...
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If you already have low-priced chips and your position is not low, the following points may be useful to you:
Stay calm: Don't always think about whether to buy again or to switch; you already have positions in hand, so just be more relaxed.
If you're really going to increase your position, try to find new opportunities. It's best if there are still profits there; try to look for new hotspots and see if there are any new possibilities.
Remember, never borrow, especially on platforms. I've been emphasizing this point since the occurrence of the black swan event: do not leverage!
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TruthAllahvip:
My low-cost chips are almost all used up by me.
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Over the years, I have realized a particularly important investment principle that I want to share with everyone.
Many people ask me: What have you bought recently? Can you tell me a target for a big bet? But I usually respond with a question: What is your own buying logic?
If you don't understand the logic behind my buying, you'll never know when and why I will sell. Once the price fluctuates beyond your expectations, you'll panic. Those without logical support cannot distinguish whether what's in front of them is an opportunity or a trap, and in the end, they are often led by
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Grok provides the time and price level for the current bull top, let's verify together.
$BTC The current market cycle is not yet over; it is a normal correction within a bull market, similar to the mid-cycle adjustment of 2020-2021. Based on technical, on-chain, and macro data, the peak of the bull market is expected between November 2025 and January 2026, with a price target of 150,000-180,000, and optimistically reaching 200,000.
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PengchengSpreadsItsWivip:
波动即机会 📊
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It is indeed very difficult to operate at this stage, mainly because the certainty is too low.
BTC has been rising all the way, and the cumulative increase is already significant. The US stock market has also been rising for half a year consecutively, seemingly strong on the surface, but in fact, risks have been slowly accumulating. As long as there is a slight disturbance, it could trigger a wave of "profit-taking exits," so the bulls need to be cautious.
But looking at it from the other side, the macro environment and the cyclical position have not completely turned bearish yet, and the bull
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OdellPumpBananavip:
The stream flowers and Zen essence, mutually forgetting words.
Last week, I had tea with Lao Zhou, who has been in the coin game for 8 years. He shook his head while staring at the market on his phone:
"Now gold, US stocks, and Bitcoin are all rising happily, but institutions have already made enough profit and are just waiting for retail investors to rush in."
This reminds me of when Bitcoin surged to $69,800 in 2021, and three of my brothers chased the high, resulting in losing half of their capital overnight.
Why do bull markets suddenly collapse after a frenzy? Here are 3 truths revealed by Old Zhou that beginners should pay attention to.
Let's fi
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The market always tests everyone - from the rebound high to the big dump low, no one can escape unscathed. Those who placed open orders to buy at the bottom are now going through the toughest phase: prices are fluctuating wildly, emotions are extremely fearful, the news is all negative, and they still have to grit their teeth and stick to their judgment.
This is actually quite normal because the market liquidity is too poor right now, and a little bit of force can cause prices to jump back and forth in both directions. A positive news item might ignite the market, while a negative news item ca
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Can you talk about what the 2021 bull run alt season was like?
Take a simple example, if you can buy in at a low point, based on the growth rate of 21 years, it averages at least 30 times. If you have seventy or eighty thousand, you can afford a BYD Qin. Depending on your entry and exit timing, this BYD Qin might evolve like this over the course of these two months: in one week, it turns into a Xiaomi SU7, then to a BMW 3 Series, then to an Ideal L9, a Porsche Panamera, a Mercedes S, a Bentley, a Rolls Royce, and even higher. However, a sharp decline can also come very quickly; basically, when
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Meteor66666vip:
Thank you, teacher.
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I looked at the contract holdings data, and in the recent black swan event, over 70 billion USD in holdings were wiped out in the contract market. The open interest dropped from a high of 224.3 billion to 150.6 billion, nearly a third of the entire market. Not only did retail investors lose everything, but many institutional market makers also dropped to zero this time, while the exchange made a fortune.
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I still hold this view, and in the future, my asset allocation will also follow this strategy.
In the next ten years, the best quality assets should be cryptocurrencies, only recommending BTC and mainstream coins, which have huge growth potential. Currently, BTC and ETH are strongly correlated with the Nasdaq. BNB is promising due to its top-tier status, but it is quite volatile, so it's advisable to wait for a significant pullback before entering. Only buy spot and avoid contracts.
Next is the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500; buying at any time would not be a mistake. The Nasdaq has had seven
BTC-0.01%
ETH-1.13%
BNB1.62%
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A few days ago, after that wave of black swans, many traditional funds' views on the crypto market have completely changed. The US stock market has almost recovered last week's losses, and $BTC is still struggling to stabilize at 110,000. Currently, Wall Street is busy working on Mainstream Token ETFs, and many traditional funds are excitedly preparing to enter the crypto assets market. However, what you are showing them is a market that can fall by 50% in an hour... I ask, who would dare to touch such fluctuations? Institutional money is most afraid of risk, and with this situation,
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LittleWhiteFantasistvip:
Crying without tears
Is there going to be a second fall after the big dump in the market???
Many people were terrified when they saw that needle on 10·11. Even those who didn't make contracts or get liquidated were afraid to enter the market.
They are worried that the needle is too low; if it falls further and the needle is eaten away, wouldn't it have to fall several times more?
This fear is normal, but we need to clarify what a second bottom really is.
The term "探底" literally means the process of the market probing for the bottom.
A second bottom usually occurs at the end of a bear market, when the main
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ETH-1.13%
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LittleWhiteFantasistvip:
Thank you for sharing your insights!
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The recent few Long Wick Candle market trends have almost remained unchanged:
1️⃣ The bull market is thriving, suddenly a black swan strikes, super drop long wick candle, blow up the leverage once.
2️⃣ Oversold rebound, the price hasn't changed, the position is gone, and I conveniently shorted a batch.
3️⃣ Retail investors chase the high and get trapped, then there's a second pullback, and another batch gets wiped out;
4️⃣ After the double explosion of long and short positions, the market enters a consolidation phase, with liquidity completely wiped out;
5️⃣ When the retail investors a
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LittleBitcoinvip:
Step Five
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When playing with meme coins and contracts, do not use too large an amount; play with small funds. At most, it should account for 10% of the total position.
After making a profit, do not reinvest; withdraw it for living expenses, or buy big coins and transfer them to a cold wallet.
Memes and contracts cannot achieve compound interest. This is because both have the possibility of going to zero, and if you keep reinvesting, you will eventually face the situation of chopping firewood for a thousand days and burning it in one day.
Additionally, as the capital grows, the mindset will become anxious
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$BTC is still in the consolidation phase. It is expected to oscillate between 107,000 and 118,000 in the short term, and many people may try to catch the Rebound during this period. The heat map also confirms this — there is a significant amount of Liquidity accumulated around 118,000, and during the previous pullback, a fuel wall was formed above 123,000, waiting for the price to trigger a new breakout. The overall structure is actually preparing for a new high.
From the trend rhythm, Bitcoin is still moving in the golden range rhythm. I tend to think it will have a breakthrough in 5 weeks.
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In 2022, my brother held his wedding, and in the best man's room, after a few rounds of drinks, he jokingly self-deprecated and said, "I'm already 31, and I still have to rely on my parents for the bride price."
In that moment, I raised my glass with a smile, but my heart felt like it was pricked by a needle. That night when I got back, I opened the exchange and watched as SOL dropped from 109U to 89U, thinking to myself, "Is this a rebound? Let's give it a shot!"
So, I threw in the 90,000 that I had saved up for two years.
In the next few days, the market seemed to be playing with
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TruthAllahvip:
I just found out that pro Yoshikawa follows both of us 🤝🤝🤝
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According to the latest news from Reuters, U.S. President Trump stated that the United States will consider implementing export controls on Boeing aircraft parts in response to China's restrictions on rare earth exports.
It is reported that there are currently about 1,855 Boeing aircraft in service in China, and once restrictions are implemented, it will affect the daily maintenance and even flight safety of related models.
What Trump is doing is a bit beyond the line...
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