Trump announced a 5-day delay in strikes on Iranian energy facilities and claimed productive dialogue took place. This pattern of extreme threats followed by concessions is his typical deal-making style, with the core aim of suppressing elevated oil prices and boosting US equities to ease inflation pressures. Iran's official response quickly denied the existence of negotiations, calling it psychological warfare, and stated it would not return to the negotiation table unless the US stops its aggression. This appears more like a delaying tactic—once the 5-day deadline expires, if Iran shows no substantive concessions, the situation could deteriorate again.
BTC's 70,000 level is both a psychological barrier and a watershed. If a ceasefire framework is truly reached within these 5 days, BTC could challenge the all-time high of 73,700 and, riding the momentum of institutional capital inflows such as MicroStrategy's continued accumulation, target the 80,000 level. However, given Iran's firm denial, once the 5-day observation period ends and both sides experience another close call, BTC may replay the script of good news being fully priced in, pulling back to the 65,000 - 67,000 support zone. Currently, this looks more like short-term sentiment recovery. Before Iran formally agrees or a third party confirms mediation progress, it's advisable to remain vigilant. BTC's resistance near 72,000 is very heavy; only if it stabilizes there for 48 hours can a reversal be considered preliminarily established.
#加密市场回涨
Trump announced a 5-day delay in strikes on Iranian energy facilities and claimed productive dialogue took place. This pattern of extreme threats followed by concessions is his typical deal-making style, with the core aim of suppressing elevated oil prices and boosting US equities to ease inflation pressures. Iran's official response quickly denied the existence of negotiations, calling it psychological warfare, and stated it would not return to the negotiation table unless the US stops its aggression. This appears more like a delaying tactic—once the 5-day deadline expires, if Iran shows no substantive concessions, the situation could deteriorate again.
BTC's 70,000 level is both a psychological barrier and a watershed. If a ceasefire framework is truly reached within these 5 days, BTC could challenge the all-time high of 73,700 and, riding the momentum of institutional capital inflows such as MicroStrategy's continued accumulation, target the 80,000 level. However, given Iran's firm denial, once the 5-day observation period ends and both sides experience another close call, BTC may replay the script of good news being fully priced in, pulling back to the 65,000 - 67,000 support zone. Currently, this looks more like short-term sentiment recovery. Before Iran formally agrees or a third party confirms mediation progress, it's advisable to remain vigilant. BTC's resistance near 72,000 is very heavy; only if it stabilizes there for 48 hours can a reversal be considered preliminarily established.