$BTC 1. Trend Judgment: Bearish Dominance - Price Position: The current price is between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands (BOLL), and the Bollinger Bands are opening downward, indicating a strong short-term downtrend. - Moving Average System: The price has broken below the short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10), and MA5 has crossed below MA10 to form a death cross. The moving averages are arranged in a bearish pattern, exerting pressure on the price. 2. Momentum Indicators: Continuing Downward Momentum - MACD: The MACD indicator is below the zero line, with the fast line (DIF) and slow line (DEA) diverging downward. The green momentum bars (bearish momentum) are expanding, indicating that the current downward momentum remains strong and no clear reversal signal has appeared. - RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approximately 35.97. Although in the weak zone (below 50), it has not yet entered the oversold area (usually below 30), which means there is still room for further price decline but is close to a short-term rebound point. 📊 Key Trading Level References 📉 Short Position Strategy (Follow the Trend) - Entry Point: 64,200 - 64,500 (if the price rebounds to test the Bollinger middle band or encounters resistance at the moving averages). - Stop Loss: Above 65,200 (to prevent false breakouts and rebounds). - First Target: 63,063 (support at the lower Bollinger Band). - Second Target: 62,500 (support at previous lows). 📈 Long Position Strategy (Capture Rebound/Bottom Fishing) - Entry Point: 62,800 - 63,000 (monitor previous lows and support at the lower Bollinger Band, combined with RSI near 30). - Stop Loss: Below 62,200 (a decisive break below previous lows indicates weakening trend). - First Target: 64,000 (short-term resistance level). - Second Target: 65,000 (previous consolidation center). 💡 Overall Advice - Short-term Operation: The current trend is relatively weak. It is recommended to mainly short on rebounds, with strict position control. Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Please ensure proper risk management and set stop losses.

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