As of March 30, 2025, the price of BTC has fallen to around $81,600. This indicates that the market may currently be in a Bear Market trend or correction phase.

BTC has broken below the logarithmic trend line, and the linear trend line may become a support level around 81600. The lower level may test the 70000 USD level, forming a triple bottom.
Market analysis indicates that the funding rates, lending rates, and spot trading volumes are all at low levels, with the FG Index (Fear & Greed Index) at 32 (Fear), suggesting that market sentiment leans towards caution or panic.
It is recommended that short sellers continue to hold their short positions, with a target price possibly between $80,000 and $81,000, and a stop-loss set above $85,500.
This information indicates that the market may continue to be under pressure in the short term, but there is also a certain level of support and the possibility of a rebound.
2. Technical Analysis and Forecasting
According to online search results, the BTC price predictions for 2025 generally show some volatility, here are the key points:
Short-term trend (end of March to early April):
BTC may currently be in a downward channel. Some technical indicators (such as RSI) suggest that the market may be in a neutral or oversold state (RSI between 30-70), which means there may be an opportunity for a technical rebound.
Support is likely to be between $77,000 and $80,000, while resistance is likely to be around $85,000 to $90,000.
Around 81600 USD is a key support level. If it falls below that, it may further test the level of 70000 USD.
Mid-term trend (from April 2025 to the end of the year):
In 2025, the price of BTC is expected to rise due to institutional adoption, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic factors such as lower interest rates. The target price is generally between $120,000 and $200,000.
However, there may be a pullback to around $78,000, followed by a potential fall or a sharp rebound.
The 200-day moving average of BTC has been on an upward trend since the beginning of 2025, indicating that the long-term trend remains bullish, but it may take time to consolidate in the short term.
Influencing Factors:
Macroeconomics: Increased global liquidity, lower interest rates, and inflationary pressures may drive demand for BTC as a store of value.
Institution adoption: The continued inflow of Spot Bitcoin ETFs (expected to reach $190 billion in assets under management by the end of 2025) will support prices.
Regulation and Geopolitics: The crypto-friendly policies of the Trump administration may benefit BTC, but potential regulatory uncertainty or geopolitical tensions (such as US-China relations) could trigger volatility.
Market Sentiment: The current "fear" sentiment (FG index 32) may present a buying opportunity, but further selling pressure should also be watched.
3. Outlook for Later Trends
Based on the above analysis, the later trend of BTC after falling to $81,600 may be as follows:
Short term (1-2 weeks):
If the support at $81,600 holds, the price may fluctuate between $80,000 and $85,000, waiting for market sentiment to improve or for new catalysts (such as institutional buying or positive news).
If it falls below $81,600, the next support level could be between $77,000 and $80,000. At this time, bears may continue to dominate the market, with a target possibly probing down to $70,000.
Mid-term (April 2025 to end of the year):
The market may form a bottom or rebound in April or May, with target prices potentially testing $90,000 to $120,000 if institutional funds continue to flow in and ETFs perform strongly. BTC could challenge highs of $150,000 to $200,000 by the end of 2025.
However, if the macroeconomic situation worsens or regulations tighten, prices may face a correction of 20%-30% (in the area of $80,000 to $85,000 mentioned by some analysts).
Long term (2026 and beyond):
The long-term trend remains bullish, and the price of BTC could reach between $100,000 and $600,000 from 2026 to 2030 (depending on adoption and technological development).
4. Recommendations and Risks
Investment advice: The current market is relatively cold, suitable for long-term investors to gradually build positions (HODL), but short-term traders need to set strict stop-losses (for example, above $85,500). Be aware of market volatility risks, especially the impacts of geopolitical and regulatory news.
Risk Warning: The volatility of BTC is high, and the bearish sentiment along with potential pullbacks mentioned on the network (such as falling to 70000 USD) indicate that there may still be downside risks in the short term. Investors should closely monitor indicators such as the FG index, RSI, and moving averages.
5. Conclusion
After BTC falls to $81,600 on March 30, 2025, it may continue to be under pressure in the short term, with support levels between $77,000 and $81,600. If market sentiment improves and institutional funds enter, the price may rebound to $85,000 to $90,000 in April. In the medium to long term, there is potential to reach $120,000 to $200,000 before the end of 2025, but one must be wary of macroeconomic and regulatory risks. #BTC & ETH 行情分析 #四月行情预测 #荣誉积分抽奖，赢MacBook Air和精美周边