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Non-farm employment data arrives
JPMorgan's trading department simulated a scenario: weak employment data could put pressure on U.S. stocks. Quite scary.
Today, the market's eyes are all on one thing: the non-farm employment data for September 2025 is about to be released.
This data will definitely cause a stir. We need to keep a close eye on it.
What is non-farm payroll data? It is the thermometer for the health of the U.S. economy. When the performance is good, the Federal Reserve stands tall, and the U.S. dollar also strengthens. Gold may have to bow down.
The latest market speculation suggests that non-farm payrolls increased by about 75,000 in August 2025, which is similar to July. The labor market seems to be cooling down. If the data in September is not strong, the market may panic. The dollar could soften, while gold might benefit.
The market is unusually quiet right now. It's a bit like the eerie calm before a storm, and it feels off.
Analysis of Federal Reserve's Stance and Market Impact
What is the recent attitude of the Federal Reserve? Cautious but somewhat optimistic. The U.S. economy is holding up reasonably well, but some areas are starting to show signs of strain.
I. Assessment of the Current State of the U.S. Economy
The U.S. economy is still growing, but it feels a bit strained. The unemployment rate is fluctuating between 4.2% and 4.3%, which is slightly higher than before. Consumer spending is also not very strong. Surveys show that both businesses and households feel a bit uncertain about the future. Consumers are reluctant to spend money, making the overall economic recovery a bit precarious.
Want to know the non-farm report as soon as it's released? You can set a reminder on an economic calendar or financial platform. Anyway, it's very important, don't miss it.