Technical Outlook: Will XRP Extend Its Rebound Above Key Resistance Levels?

XRP is showing early signs of recovery after rebounding from recent lows, currently trading above the crucial $2.50 level. However, the price remains capped below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.63, suggesting that bulls are still facing resistance in reclaiming dominance.

The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the daily chart indicate key dynamic resistance levels:

20-day EMA: $2.775

50-day EMA: $2.860

100-day EMA: $2.825

200-day EMA: $2.634

A decisive daily close above the 200-day EMA ($2.634) could strengthen the bullish case and trigger a push toward the 50-day ($2.860) and 100-day EMA ($2.825) zones, aligning closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.724 — a pivotal area that often acts as a reversal zone in technical analysis.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads 42.24, with its signal-based moving average at 45.36, showing recovery from the oversold region and pointing to a gradual reduction in bearish momentum.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to maintain a bearish signal, as the blue MACD line stays below the red signal line — an indication that sellers still exert control, at least in the short term.

If XRP maintains support above $2.50, buyers could aim for higher resistance levels near $2.724 (Fib 0.618), $2.82–$2.86 (EMA cluster), and $3.13 (Fib 0.786). Conversely, a failure to hold above $2.434 (Fib 0.5) or $2.144 (Fib 0.382) could reignite downside pressure toward $1.786 (Fib 0.236).

Overall, XRP’s near-term outlook hinges on its ability to secure a daily close above the 200-day EMA, which would mark a meaningful confirmation of recovery momentum.

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