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#美国政府关闭 The data is delayed, but the market doesn't wait for anyone. The U.S. government shutdown has just ended, yet key economic indicators are collectively "missing". Goldman Sachs has urgently released forecasts—how should the market respond to this move?
The inflation data and unemployment rate report that were originally scheduled to be released tonight have all been postponed due to the government shutdown. Goldman Sachs' latest assessment is that this data may be released as early as next week, and other important indicators may also be delayed. More critically, Goldman Sachs has provided a forecast—once the data resumes publication, it is likely to show the following picture: the job market continues to cool down, inflation remains high, and economic growth is lukewarm. In translation, this means: the economy is slowing down, but it hasn't reached a breaking point yet.
What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market? In the short term, the data vacuum period will likely cause the market to enter a "blind flying" state, with volatility expected to rise. However, from another perspective, this may not be bad news. With economic slowdown combined with persistent inflation, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve aggressively raising interest rates again decreases, and funds may instead seek refuge in risk assets. If Bitcoin and Ethereum can hold their current key support levels, the potential for a rebound in the future is worth looking forward to.
What should ordinary investors do right now?
First, restrain your impulses. During the data gap period, chasing rises and selling on dips can easily lead to being repeatedly slapped in the face by market emotions.
Secondly, closely monitor the Federal Reserve's movements. Whether inflation can truly be controlled directly determines whether the expectations for interest rate cuts next year can be fulfilled.
Third, build positions in batches. If BTC or ETH retraces to key support, you can test the waters with a small position—remember, don't panic when it drops, and don't get overly excited when it rises.
Data may be delayed, but the market will not be absent. Do you think this delay will lead to a breakout or a pullback for Bitcoin? Share your thoughts!