The brief calm in the crypto market is about to end.

Don’t just focus on the rate cut itself—the real game-changer is what Powell says next. He never really wanted to cut rates this time in the first place. After the rate cut is announced at 3:00 AM on Thursday, he’ll likely send a hawkish signal at the press conference half an hour later, laying the groundwork for pausing further cuts. The market could panic immediately.

Now, with the interest rate down to 3.5%, we’re at what’s called a “neutral level”—basically, neither loose nor tight. But inflation is still at 3%, quite a bit above the Fed’s 2% target. Economic data is also very strong, so what reason do they have to keep cutting? This lines up perfectly with Powell’s previous stance. So after the rate cut is announced, the market will likely drop instead of rallying and head straight into a correction.

I plan to go for a 2x long-term short position when prices spike. In this environment, the odds of making money aren’t low. Of course, if you’re more conservative, you can wait and watch, then buy the dip next year when the market crashes—the situation should improve in the second half of next year. If Trump actually replaces the Fed Chair and starts aggressively cutting rates, the market could rally for at least 3 to 5 years.

The next six months will be tough, but the bull market is only taking a short break—it’ll be back in the second half of next year. Whoever seizes the opportunity during this window will be able to turn things around.