## 📈 Market Analysis $BTC ‌$BTC ‌

In the past 3 days, Bitcoin moved between **$84,460 and $89,481**, rising about **3.77%**. The RSI surged to **100**, indicating severe overbought, as price stayed near the highs but volume dropped over **70%**, showing momentum is weakening and a short-term pullback risk is rising.

News Focus

- **Santiment warns panic hasn't peaked, BTC may fall to $75,000**, highlighting that current social sentiment isn't enough to confirm a market bottom, so Bitcoin could have further downside and caution is advised;
- **Galaxy Research, Arthur Hayes bullish on BTC long-term**, with predictions for Bitcoin to reach $250,000 by end-2027, driven by Fed policy shifts and new cycles of structural liquidity;
- **Tom Lee addresses Fundstrat's short-term defensive, long-term bullish split**, explaining that time horizons differ across positions, and analysts focus on either liquidity or risk control;
- **Tether plans to launch AI wallet supporting only BTC and certain stablecoins**, boosting asset use and privacy tech, aiming for better security and user convenience;
- **Tech KOL redphone foresees a "Silicon Era" and crypto as the last free harbor**, amplifying the industry's narrative on innovation and resistance to legacy systems.

 

Conflicting mainstream views add volatility, with short-term bearish and long-term bullish sentiment coexisting.

Market Sentiment

- The overall crypto market is in **Extreme Fear** (**Fear & Greed Index 20**), showing very low risk appetite among investors.
- On social media, discussions are active but opinions split: some KOLs are bullish on long-term value, while others worry about whale outflows and forced selling. Overall, caution dominates.
- On-chain liquidation behavior has eased somewhat, yet worries of further pullbacks persist, and a unified bullish signal is still absent.

Key Points to Watch

- **Whether volume rebounds**: If trading volume stays sluggish, the rally momentum can't last;
- **Changes in on-chain fund flows**: Whale selling versus large buying flows will decide if any rebound can sustain;
- **Macro policy direction**: Interest rate and liquidity expectations remain crucial for market turning points;
- **Ongoing institutional buying or selling**: ETF flows and fund moves directly affect market confidence;
- **Whether sentiment converges or stays split**: A shift to consensus among key voices typically signals trend reversals, so keep watch for changes in KOL stance.

 

Overall, market is extremely cautious, and future price action will depend on changes in volume, policy, and institutional behavior.

DON'T FORGET TO TAKE YOUR NAYA.

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