2025-12-21 16:10:13

#BTC资金流动性 Christmas week market lying in ambush, key data + Central Bank speeches determine the rhythm

Next week is a turning point. The U.S. Christmas holiday starts on Thursday, and economic data will be released in a cluster in the preceding days.

Main event on Tuesday: the revised annualized value of the U.S. third quarter GDP, personal consumption expenditures, and core PCE - nominally all three-star data, but the only one that can really move the market is the weekly initial jobless claims (four stars). In other words, the market may be calm in the first two days.

The real explosive point is on Thursday: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is set to speak. Last week, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points, and the market is now eager to know if further rate hikes are coming and how they will be implemented. If Ueda signals a hawkish stance, global financial markets could see significant fluctuations—cryptocurrencies, gold, and the stock market will all tremble; but if he maintains a dovish tone, then last Friday's market performance could be seen as having already priced in expectations, leading to a choppy market next week with limited upward potential.

Gold is still stuck in the pressure range of 4350-4375, with 4300 being a key support below. In the rhythm of wide fluctuations, it is highly likely that a decent market trend will be completed by the end of the month. My thinking remains to maintain a high short position and wait for the opportunity.

In my personal judgment, there might be a nice "surprise" prepared for everyone next week. How it will play out specifically depends on the data and what is said in the speeches. Remember one thing: always keep a sense of awe towards the market, as variables can appear at any time.

BTC-0.08%

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DeFiGrayling

· 2025-12-24 13:54

How will Ueda decide next week—hawkish or dovish—directly affecting our wallet?

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OnchainUndercover

· 2025-12-23 03:00

Ueda's words require full attention; a single sentence from him can shake the entire market.

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ShibaMillionairen't

· 2025-12-21 21:33

If Ueda goes hawkish on Thursday, we might have a chance. Just waiting, it really feels like something will happen next week. The key is still the initial jobless claims data; everything else is just noise. Whether gold breaks 4300 is crucial. If it's dovish, we'll have to wait, and the market will be hard to sustain. Buy the dip early, don't wait until the dumping to regret it. A surge at the end of the month? I'd like to see that. Respect the market, no problem there; there are too many variables.

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RuntimeError

· 2025-12-21 16:39

If Ueda sends a hawkish signal, we might have something to watch. The truth will be revealed on Thursday; I bet this wave won't end blandly. The data from the past two days hasn't been much to see; the key is still the Central Bank's words. Whether 4300 breaks is a question; let's wait and see. It's well said to respect the market; indeed, there are many uncertainties next week. I feel there will be a significant market movement by the end of the month; are you ready? If the dovish stance continues, it will just be range-bound fluctuations, which is boring.

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MevTears

· 2025-12-21 16:37

Ueda Kazuo will definitely stir up trouble this Thursday, betting on hawkish signals. Doves will just continue to lie flat, this week is meaningless.

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MEVSandwichMaker

· 2025-12-21 16:33

Ueda Kazuo spoke on Thursday, feeling like a bomb; either the hawks pump it up, or the doves continue and it just dies in turbulence. Whether gold breaks 4300 is the key; this wave of market should pick up by the end of the month. Maintaining a sense of awe is right; these variables are unpredictable.

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StealthMoon

· 2025-12-21 16:30

If Ueda goes hawkish, we might have a chance with BTC. The truth will be revealed on Thursday; I really can't wait any longer. The initial jobless claims are the real bomb, other data are just supporting acts. Continue to hold the short positions, it feels like a surge at the end of the month. Respect the market; don't blame me if things go south next week, I warned you. This wave of market seems to be brewing some big event. Listening to predictions every day, it's still more reliable to look at the Candlestick charts myself. Encryption is all about waiting for this kind of moment to explode.

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GasWastingMaximalist

· 2025-12-21 16:20

Ueda is about to speak, feeling like it's going to da moon or dumping next week.

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