The end-of-year market trend is indeed quite interesting. Ethereum's performance over the past couple of days has been somewhat sluggish, and yesterday's short positions were expected. Do you feel that with the Christmas holiday this week, market participation has noticeably decreased, with less volatility and a generally dull atmosphere? Short-term traders might consider trying small positions to test the waters; if it feels uninteresting, taking a break for a couple of days might be better, as the real market move could start after Christmas.



From a technical perspective, Ethereum's four-hour candlestick chart has been trending downward recently, with continuous bearish candles since December 22, and the highs are gradually decreasing. On the daily chart, there are many long upper shadows, especially on the 23rd, indicating significant selling pressure above. In the four-hour cycle, the MACD's DIF and DEA are both oscillating below the zero line, showing that bearish momentum is accumulating. However, the histogram shows signs of shortening, hinting at a possible short-term rebound.

The RSI has now reached 42.72, which is a weak signal and has not entered the oversold zone, suggesting the market still leans bearish. The three EMA lines—7, 30, and 120—are clearly arranged in a bearish pattern, with the 7-line recently crossing below the 30-line quickly, indicating short-term resistance. The price is currently below all moving averages, confirming that the overall trend remains bearish. Trading volume on the 24th significantly shrank compared to previous days, reflecting a more cautious market sentiment. On the 23rd, there was a volume-driven decline, with bears fully in control and funds continuing to flow out.

Based on these signals, consider short positions around 2930 to 2940, targeting levels at 2900, 2870, and 2850. It’s advisable to keep positions light, as year-end volatility can lead to unexpected moves.
ETH-0.76%
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RadioShackKnightvip
· 4h ago
It's okay to slack off during the Christmas holiday. Anyway, lying flat and waiting for the New Year market to arrive is more comfortable now.
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staking_grampsvip
· 4h ago
That's how the Christmas season is—retail investors are on holiday, and no one wants to move contracts. However, I think the 2930 level isn't necessarily reliable; the recent rebound seems a bit suspicious. Whether this market trend is bottoming out or continuing to fall, we need to wait and see the situation before the New Year. But I do agree with trying a small position to test the waters. I'm a bit tired, so I think I'll rest first. Anyway, the market at the end of the year isn't likely to surprise us much. Wait, your RSI is only over 42, how can you be so sure it's a short position? I think a rebound might be just around the corner. Are your analyses biased? So in the end, it all depends on your own risk tolerance. This chaotic market really lacks certainty.
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MEVictimvip
· 4h ago
The Christmas holiday market is so dull it's not even interesting. Maybe I should just relax for now and wait until the New Year to see what happens.
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FlippedSignalvip
· 4h ago
Christmas holidays are indeed a good excuse to slack off; anyway, there's not much opportunity in the market at the end of the year. Let's hold with a small position; I'll short it on a rebound. Wait, will it really bounce at 2930? Feels like it can still drop further.
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BearMarketBrovip
· 4h ago
Mooching around during Christmas holidays, there's really not much market activity to play with... The end-of-year wave is indeed quite dull. It's okay to try a small position, but I prefer to wait until the New Year’s wave. For now, I'm just relaxing comfortably.
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