2026-01-06 08:10:56

#以太坊大户持仓变化 The week of January 6th will see a flurry of economic data releases, which will have a significant impact on short-term fluctuations in the crypto market.

From Europe, France will sequentially release the December CPI preliminary figures and the final services PMI in the afternoon. Following that, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK will also release their services PMI data one after another. This set of data essentially sketches the true temperature of the entire European economy—often, observing the trend of these indicators is more accurate than listening to analysts' hype.

In the evening, there will be several actions in the US. At 21:00, Germany will publish the December CPI monthly rate preliminary figures, and Federal Reserve official Barkin will deliver a public speech. This is a key point to watch—comments from Fed officials often hint at subtle shifts in policy direction, and the market is very sensitive to such signals.

At 22:45, the S&P Global Services PMI final figures will be released, which will essentially shape the economic outlook for both Europe and the US. On days with large fluctuations in economic data, the volatility of the crypto market often surges as well. Instead of blindly guessing, it’s better to spend more time analyzing data—mainstream cryptocurrencies like ETH often follow the short-term rhythm embedded in these macro indicators.

ETH-2.92%

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WalletDivorcer

· 01-08 01:24

Oh my, it's another data week. My heart must be so strong this week.

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DiamondHands

· 01-08 01:03

It's another data bombardment week, this time with Europe and the US teaming up to cause trouble. Large investors are probably going to start offloading again.

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ProbablyNothing

· 01-06 08:41

Here are some stylistically different comments: --- It's another Data Day. During times like these, it's easiest to get cut, so it's safer to just watch quietly without making moves. --- The 21:00 Balquin speech is definitely worth paying attention to. Last time he spoke, ETH immediately plummeted—truly remarkable. --- Instead of waiting for big players' moves, it's better to understand these economic data first. That feels like the real deal. --- Once the CPI is released, you can predict the subsequent trend. Looks like I might be staying up late this week... --- Honestly, I usually can't tell much from Europe's PMI. It's more reliable to keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's movements. --- Every intensive data week is like this: volatility spikes, then a bunch of people blow up their orders, cycle repeats. --- If the S&P PMI comes in below expectations, ETH might take another hit. Be prepared, everyone.

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DefiPlaybook

· 01-06 08:40

Based on on-chain data, this week's macro environment indeed needs close attention—The combination of PMI and CPI often directly impacts ETH's short-term volatility, with historical data showing that volatility can increase by over 40%. According to the historical characteristics of Federal Reserve officials' speeches, subtle changes in wording are indeed more predictive of policy shifts than public guidance, and the market's pricing ability remains quite sensitive. The specific analysis is as follows: Under the dual data shocks from Europe and the United States, the main risk points are—First, a comprehensive decline in PMI would reinforce recession expectations; Second, an improvement in CPI data could influence the outlook for interest rate cuts. It is recommended to pay more attention to the movements of large on-chain holders in the coming days, as their changes in holdings often lead the market by 2-3 hours.

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TokenEconomist

· 01-06 08:38

actually, this is where most people get it wrong—they think macro data *causes* volatility when really it's just the market repricing based on fed signaling... ceteris paribus, if you're watching PMI swings instead of understanding the underlying incentive structures driving whale accumulation, you're already late to the trade

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ChainMelonWatcher

· 01-06 08:34

The day the data is released, you'll probably have to stay up late monitoring the market. Instead of relying on luck, it's better to look at indicators. This set of logic is still correct.

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