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The latest U.S. tariff revenue data has raised concerns—totaling over $600 billion, an amount comparable to half a year's revenue of a tech giant. From another perspective, it also exceeds one-tenth of the total global cryptocurrency market capitalization.
Honestly, this is not just a policy adjustment on taxation; it reflects a new pattern in the trade game among major powers.
First, let's look at the dollar side. Such a volume of "toll fees" straightforwardly demonstrates the U.S.'s dominant voice in global trade pricing. But everything has its limits; excessive pressure often forces trading partners to seek alternatives—potentially accelerating the de-dollarization process.
Next is the old issue of inflation. Tariffs ultimately get passed on to the cost of goods, making price increases for imported products almost unavoidable. There is a significant risk of renewed inflationary pressures domestically in the U.S. This also adds another layer of constraints on the Federal Reserve's policy space.
Looking at the global markets, the flow of massive funds often triggers chain reactions; stock markets and currency markets may fluctuate accordingly. Coupled with persistent policy uncertainties, this combination has always been a key factor in market volatility.
When the world's largest economy turns into a "super toll booth," the operational logic of traditional financial assets is undergoing profound rewriting. Against this backdrop, many investors are beginning to reassess assets like cryptocurrencies, which are relatively independent and resistant to censorship. These are no longer just speculative choices but practical considerations for hedging risks.