2026-01-06 11:29:33

What is really driving the Bitcoin trend behind the scenes? Besides the well-known halving cycle, there is a macro indicator that many people overlook—the Copper-Gold Ratio—that is subtly influencing market sentiment.

The logic of the Copper-Gold Ratio is quite straightforward. Copper represents industrial demand and economic vitality, while gold signifies safe-haven demand and market panic. When the ratio rises, it indicates that global funds are chasing risk assets; when it falls, market risk aversion begins to spread.

Interestingly, looking back at history, the peaks of the Bitcoin cycles in 2013, 2017, and 2021 all coincided with high levels of the Copper-Gold Ratio. Near 6000 points at the end of 2013, also close to historical highs in early 2017, and in the long-term peak area in early 2021. This is no coincidence—when economic expectations shift toward safety, high-risk assets also start to come under pressure.

Even more noteworthy is another pattern: whenever the Copper-Gold Ratio shows reversal signals after a long-term downtrend, Bitcoin often follows with a trendful rally. The underlying logic is that after long-term risk aversion dissipates, global liquidity flows back into risk assets. Combined with supply-side factors from the halving cycle, the explosive potential is further amplified.

This moment is worth pondering. The Copper-Gold Ratio has been oscillating at the bottom for quite some time, and the global macro landscape is also changing. Is this indicator hinting at a new turning point? Will Bitcoin usher in the next cyclical opportunity? Perhaps we should keep a close eye on this often-overlooked market signal.

What do you think about this indicator? Feel free to share your thoughts.

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 01-09 11:28

The copper-gold ratio is indeed an interesting theory, but to be honest, historical data is always a hindsight view. Wait, have all the bottom reversal signals appeared? I didn't see them. Haha, another hidden indicator... If I had known earlier, I would have gotten rich in advance. This logic sounds very reasonable, but I'm just worried it’s another case of hindsight bias. Copper-gold ratio reversal = BTC takes off. If it were that simple, someone would have already gotten rich from it... Saying "a new turning point is emerging" is too vague now. Give me a specific number. Actually, I just want to know, where exactly is this indicator right now? Don’t tell me stories. No matter how many indicators there are, the last to bottom out still get caught off guard. Who will be responsible? It sounds professional, but I care more about next week's trend... Can this be predicted?

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HalfPositionRunner

· 01-08 15:55

The copper-to-gold ratio sounds fancy, but honestly it's just betting on global economic expectations. I don't really understand it, but it sounds impressive. Wait, according to this logic, if the bottom is reversing now, isn't it about to take off? Should I buy the dip or keep watching? From 2013 to 2021, it hit the top three times, indicating that this indicator does have some value. But the problem is, who can accurately predict the reversal point... Linking the copper-to-gold ratio directly to BTC is really hindsight analysis. When it comes to critical moments, you still need luck and proper positioning. It's interesting, but I'm more concerned about when the copper-to-gold ratio can give a clear signal—stop wandering at the bottom every day.

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DegenWhisperer

· 01-07 23:16

Is the copper-gold ratio really that strong? Why haven't I heard anyone mention it before? Wait, is a bottom reversal just a signal? Should I go all in now? Honestly, I'm a bit tempted to try this indicator, but I always feel like armchair quarterbacks have the easiest time after the fact. Comparing the 2013 wave to now, the logic seems a bit forced. Can this kind of macro indicator really predict the crypto market? I'm a bit skeptical. If the copper-gold ratio is aligning, should I run or hold? Wow, another overlooked cipher, everyone claims they've found the secret. The bottom has been oscillating for so long, when will there actually be a true reversal? The combined halving cycle + copper-gold ratio reversal sounds like there might be something to it. But the problem is, how do you judge when a real reversal has happened? You can't just watch these two indicators every day. It's reasonable and well-founded, but what's the probability of history repeating itself?

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DaoDeveloper

· 01-07 08:19

copper-to-gold ratio as a market signal is lowkey genius... the composability between macro indicators and on-chain cycles hits different when you actually map the data

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GasGuzzler

· 01-06 11:59

The copper-gold ratio sounds good in theory, but can historical patterns really be directly applied to the present... That's a bit too magical. --- Wait, the bottom has been oscillating for so long? Should I buy the dip, or just continue to watch and wait? --- Honestly, this indicator is much more reliable than candlestick charts. Since it's all gambling anyway, might as well bet on macro factors. --- Every time, they talk about the next cycle opportunity. Last time I lost a lot because of this, is it true this time? --- Copper-gold ratio reversal = liquidity returning to risk assets. I can accept this logic, but the question is, when will it reverse, everyone? --- Why are so many people studying halving cycles but no one pays attention to the copper-gold ratio? It’s indeed an obscure indicator, but it feels promising. --- 2013, 2017, 2021 all hit the top precisely. This data is too outrageous. I believe no one thought of this pattern earlier.

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WhaleWatcher

· 01-06 11:58

The copper-gold ratio from this perspective is indeed outstanding; I hadn't paid attention to it before. --- Bottom reversal signal? Should I get in now, brother? --- 2013, 2017, 2021 all hit the mark; this pattern has some substance. --- Wait, so are we currently accumulating or preparing to run? --- Liquidity is indeed flowing into risk assets, but when will the turn happen? --- Another overlooked indicator. I feel like there's always something new being overlooked every day haha. --- Copper-gold ratio reversal + halving cycle, double resonance? Sounds very promising. --- The bottom has been oscillating for a long time, right? Is a reversal still far away? --- This logic is simple and straightforward; I like this approach. --- But will history repeat itself? Can we hit the mark again next time?

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StablecoinEnjoyer

· 01-06 11:58

The copper-to-gold ratio at this angle is interesting, but honestly, historical patterns are often just armchair analysis after the fact. Thinking in reverse, how should I buy next time?

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NoodlesOrTokens

· 01-06 11:55

The copper-gold ratio is indeed underestimated; the historical data is right here. I agree with this logic. To put it simply, it’s a barometer of risk appetite. After such a long bottoming out, is a reversal coming? We need to keep watching. Halving + copper-gold ratio reversal, these dual signals are really tempting. But is it really reliable to apply historical patterns to the present? The environment has changed. Copper-gold ratio reversal = Bitcoin takes off? I need to verify this correlation myself. Could it be that a major market move is brewing now? I’m a bit excited. Regarding macro pattern changes, what exactly does that refer to? I don’t quite understand. This indicator is good for reference, but how can we catch the bottom? The problem is, we can’t find the bottom. Are all reversal signals out? Or are we still waiting?

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AirdropBuffet

· 01-06 11:43

The copper-gold ratio is indeed a novel perspective, but historical patterns don't necessarily repeat in the future. After all this, we're still betting on liquidity; the halving is the real core, right? After such a long bottom consolidation, where are the reversal signals? I can't see any. Wait a minute, if we follow this logic, does that mean it's time to enter the market? Don't fool me.

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CoffeeNFTs

· 01-06 11:40

The copper-gold ratio from this angle is indeed fresh; I hadn't thought of it before. --- Wait, isn't this logic a bit hindsight bias? --- Is the bottom reversal signal really that reliable? Feels like I'm about to get cut again. --- What was that at 6000 points? And where is the copper-gold ratio now? --- That makes sense. Looking at it this way, is it time to buy the dip? --- It's always "ignored indicators," and then nothing happens. --- Long-term bottoms are indeed suspicious; let's keep an eye on it. --- But compared to the copper-gold ratio, I still trust the halving cycle more; at least I can see it. --- Interesting, but where's the data support? Can you show a chart? --- Wake up, if macro indicators could stably predict coin prices, there wouldn't be so many liquidations. --- Still, as I always say, the more people know, the less it matters.

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