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🛑 Macro Outlook 2026: The Fed and Oil Drive the Markets
The future of US interest rates and geopolitical developments in Venezuela are keeping investors on high alert. Here's what to watch:
🏦 Interest Rate Scenarios (CME FedWatch):
January: Probability of rates remaining unchanged is 82.8%. The market has effectively priced in this scenario.
March: The real shift may begin here, with a split over a 25 basis point cut.
💡 Trader Tip: Stable interest rates mean continued positive pressure on $BTC and $GT, but any sudden cut will serve as fuel for altcoin growth.
🌎 Policy and Energy:
US pressures on Venezuela (especially regarding oil) are pushing the energy sector to record levels. This momentum is reflected in the Dow Jones index, which continues to hit historic highs.
📊 Technical Market Outlook:
(DXY): Stable while awaiting employment data. The current strength of the dollar could mean sideways volatility for crypto.
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Strategy: Caution is key. Monitor liquidity levels at the end of the week.
What is your next strategy? Will you increase your positions in altcoins or stick with stablecoins until clarity emerges? 👇
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