The old saying in the circle is true—"Follow without predicting." Understanding this phrase is the key to truly grasping the secrets of the crypto world.

Many newcomers get confused after hearing this, thinking it's unfathomable. In reality, it's just like shopping at a vegetable market. When there's a crowd and excitement, everyone wants to jump in first, driving prices up sky-high. At this point, don’t join the crowd; just observe and wait. When the enthusiasm cools down and someone is eager to sell off their holdings, that’s the moment to pick up bargains. Don’t panic when prices drop; for those who have done their homework, it’s an opportunity knocking at the door.

The first trap in the circle: full position. This move is basically self-sabotage. Markets change suddenly and faster than flipping through a book, and going all-in is like shackling yourself. When the trend reverses, there’s no room to move. Opportunities are endless, but being fully invested cuts off all escape routes with one blow.

People with less capital shouldn’t think about going all-in at once. Take the example of 2000 yuan: first, allocate 300U to test the waters, with 100U specifically used to target hot spots, and set stop-loss and take-profit levels in advance. If the trend is correctly judged, then gradually increase the position size, with a maximum of three consecutive entries—this isn’t cowardice, but leaving room for mistakes.

Luck is like the weather; winning a trade is routine, and losses are common too. When your capital reaches around 1000U, it’s time to diversify your strategy. Use small positions for short-term trades, with quick entries and exits, focusing on mainstream coins; use very small positions for practice trades to protect your capital; trend trades are the real battlefield, but only if you calculate the odds clearly, and every move is supported by logic.

Don’t be brainwashed by those legendary stories of getting rich overnight. Small capital leveraging big gains sounds exciting, but the crypto world has never taken fairy tales seriously. What you see are only the lucky ones at the top of the pyramid; behind them are countless others paying tuition and exiting the game. What truly matters isn’t luck, but whether you have enough risk awareness, whether you have information gaps, and whether your execution is strong.

Final truth: To succeed long-term in the crypto world, it’s not about how brave you are, but how steady your steps are. Follow without predicting, use light positions to leave yourself a backup, and survival is the real principle. If you master these points, you’ve already outpaced most people. With the current market fluctuating wildly, plunging and rebounding, and altcoins full of chaos, a steady strategy is essential. If you want to turn the market around, double your holdings before the New Year, and enjoy a comfortable holiday, then truly implement this steady and reliable approach.