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, BTC is currently trading at $75,800, with a daily low of approximately $75,000, a 24-hour decline of about 4%, continuing the panic-driven decline, dominated by bears, oversold but no reversal signals.
📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview
- Resistance: $77,000 / $79,500 / $80,000; Support: $75,000 / $72,000 / $70,000 (Strong support at $72,000).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, price deviates from the moving averages, bearish pressure is strong.
- RSI(: 14): 25-28, deeply oversold, may have a weak rebound but no reversal.
- MACD(: Daily): Death cross downward, bearish momentum continues.
- Volume: Decreasing volume with weak rebound, selling pressure has not fully released, short-term stabilization is difficult.
⚙️ Trading Strategies (by type)
- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at rebound levels of $76,800-$77,000, stop-loss at $77,800, target $75,500-$75,000, break below $72,000, position size ≤ 2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, consider light positions in batches: around $75,000 for 1-2%; add another 1-2% if $72,000 stabilizes, total position ≤ 3%, stop-loss below $70,000.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $72,000 is effectively broken, medium-term target $70,000-$68,000, wait for weekly volume to shrink and RSI divergence to re-enter positions.
⚠️ Risk Management Points
- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent chain liquidations.
- Capital: ETF outflows continue, liquidity contracts, selling pressure can amplify volatility, beware of slippage.
- Coordination: Closely monitor US stocks, gold, and regulatory news, as news flow may intensify volatility.
#加密市场回调 $BTC