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. While this does not directly equate to selling, large institutions transferring assets away from exchanges often indicate a rebalancing of their portfolios.
Continuous redemptions have reduced the total net inflow of Ethereum ETFs to $13.31 billion, a significant retreat from previous highs. This outflow of institutional funds not only weakens market buying support but also sends a negative signal to retail investors, further intensifying market pessimism.
04 Technical Breakdown: Key Support Levels Breached Trigger Chain Reaction
From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum’s price has consecutively broken through multiple key support levels, triggering panic and technical sell-offs. According to Gate’s analysis, ETH previously oscillated around $2,900, but now it has fallen below this range.
More critically, Ethereum has lost important psychological levels at $2,800 and $2,500. Technical analysts warn that if the downtrend continues, ETH could further decline to $2,200 or even lower.
Such technical breakdowns often lead to chain reactions: first, forcing liquidation of leveraged long positions, increasing selling pressure; second, triggering automated sell orders from algorithmic trading and quantitative funds; finally, impacting market psychology and making investors more cautious and pessimistic.
It is worth noting that despite the significant price drop, on-chain data still shows active buying. For example, the 7 Siblings whale spent $7.221 million over the past two days to buy 30,959 ETH at an average price of $2,332.
This behavior of “smart money” accumulating during a decline may indicate that some investors believe current prices have long-term investment value.
05 Deteriorating Sentiment: From Caution to Panic
Market sentiment is a key factor influencing cryptocurrency prices, and currently, sentiment has shifted from caution to panic. According to Gate’s market analysis, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped from 25 to 22, entering the panic zone and approaching extreme fear.
This change in sentiment is reflected in multiple aspects: more pessimistic discussions on social media, investors’ more cautious outlook on the future, and even concerns like “ETH has declined for five consecutive months, which is rare in history.”
Even industry veterans are beginning to reflect publicly. Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua admitted on social media, “Being overly bullish on ETH too early was a mistake,” acknowledging misjudgment of the market.
When market sentiment deteriorates, prices can continue to fall even if fundamentals have not changed significantly. This fear-driven decline often overshoots, with prices falling beyond reasonable levels, creating opportunities for rational long-term investors to position contrarily.
06 Summary Table of Factors Influencing Ethereum Price Decline
07 Strategic Responses: Investment Wisdom Amid Market Volatility
In the face of current market conditions, investors should remain calm and adopt appropriate risk management strategies. Based on Gate’s analysis, more prudent approaches include diversification, clear risk controls, and continuous monitoring of market data.
For different investor types, consider the following strategies:
Short-term traders should closely watch key technical levels, set strict stop-loss points, and consider using risk hedging tools offered by exchanges like futures and options to manage positions.
Long-term investors can view the current correction as an opportunity to gradually build positions, employing dollar-cost averaging to diversify entry points and avoid the risks associated with trying to precisely “bottom-fish.”
All investors should avoid excessive leverage to prevent forced liquidations in extreme market conditions. Additionally, keep a close eye on Ethereum’s fundamentals, including network activity, DeFi ecosystem development, and institutional adoption progress.
It is worth noting that despite short-term pressures, Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals remain solid. It still accounts for over half of the DeFi market share and is a primary settlement and execution layer for on-chain financial activities.
With the successful implementation of the “Dencun” upgrade, transaction fees have been significantly reduced, enhancing scalability and user experience. These technological advances and ecosystem strengths are expected to regain investor attention once market sentiment stabilizes.
Future Outlook
The market’s intense fluctuations reveal conflicting signals: on one hand, large institutional withdrawals of ETH, such as Fenbushi Capital removing millions of dollars worth of ETH from exchanges; on the other hand, on-chain data shows some whale addresses have accumulated over $72 million worth of ETH in the past two days.
Meanwhile, the traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver have seen a market value evaporation of over $10 trillion in just three days, indicating that the crypto downturn is just part of a broader re-pricing wave of global risk assets.
The extreme panic in market sentiment contrasts sharply with the still-dominant fundamentals of Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem.