Survival Rules During Bull and Bear Transitions

Bitcoin rebounds are often periods where bull and bear narratives intertwine. On one side are the optimists expecting new highs, and on the other are the cautious who warn of trap setups. In fact, both can be correct—the key lies in different timeframes.

In the short term, technical rebounds are reasonable; in the long term, the trend still needs confirmation. A true bull market usually involves three elements: macro liquidity easing, industry narrative upgrades, and increased off-chain inflows. Currently, some conditions are brewing, but there’s no resonance yet.
Many people overlook one point: the market needs time to restore confidence. After consecutive declines, risk appetite won’t recover instantly. So, in the early stages of a rebound, volatility and oscillation are normal. This isn’t weakness, but health. #Celebrating New Year at Gate Square

On the operational level, staggered positioning is often better than going all-in at once. Treat your position as bullets, not emotional expressions—that’s key to long-term survival. Experts aren’t chasing huge profits; they’re controlling drawdowns.
There’s also an interesting phenomenon: with each rebound, social media becomes lively. More KOLs appear, and opinions tend to become extreme. But the real big opportunities often emerge when no one is paying attention.

Since its inception, Bitcoin has grown amid skepticism. Rebounds don’t necessarily signal a bull market, but they often indicate change. For investors, the important thing isn’t catching every cycle, but surviving through them.

After all, a bull market is about earning from knowledge, and a bear market is about earning from patience.
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