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Honestly, I can understand those who play the weather on Polymarket; after all, natural sciences are predictable, and those who understand meteorology have an advantage.
Playing with the number of Elon Musk's tweets,
I think it's very much like turkeys before Halloween.
And like eunuchs listening outside the emperor's bed.
I know some people use Elon Musk's historical tweet data to calculate probabilities and profit from underpriced options. But playing this way in the long run probably affects one's mental health.