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[Red packet] 3.24 Market Review. Locked position in Liaoning Energy. Let everything take its natural course! Understand today, understand the entire market.
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Today’s Trading Review: All operations below are simulated for market review and learning purposes only, not real trading guidance.
Short-term Account:
Sold: Shunhao Shares, stopped following at 0, red 6+ points
Comment: Strength is just weakness; short-term only looks at daily strength or weakness. When weak, just exit. When strong again tomorrow, re-enter.
Bought: Xiexin Integration, one buy at 0, another below water, red 4+ points
Comment: The leader Zhongli’s bidding shifted from weak to strong with a one-word order. Photovoltaics are fermenting. Xiexin, as the central army, performed quite well today, with strong moving averages support. Water-level low buy-in offers the best value. Just treat it as arbitrage. If it rises tomorrow, gradually reduce positions.
Holdings: Huadian Liaoning Power, bought low last Friday, red 30 points
Comment: Last Friday I said, go for the leading company Liaoning Electric if you’re confident. Successful breakout means big gains. Today’s bidding divergence was larger than yesterday, but overall still dominated by support. Accelerating, clearing some uncertain floating positions is normal. The leader isn’t topping out; the pattern continues.
The core of short-term trading is simple: operate within your understanding of the pattern, with strong execution. Don’t hold onto illusions. If expectations don’t meet your understanding, exit quickly. In short, don’t guess tops; only focus on daily weakness or strength.
Trend Account:
Holdings: Hejian Intelligent, green 17 points
Comment: Continue waiting for a rebound, consider reducing losses. It’s already been locked in. Stay observant.
Market Review: (Future bidding reviews will no longer include daily thoughts or follow/unfollow signals. You can check today’s operations in the review post or look back at previous posts for intraday work.)
1: Pre-market External and News Overview
Today, the three major indices experienced a corrective rally, characterized by volume contraction and weak recovery strength, contrasting sharply with yesterday’s broad decline. Average gains were low; yesterday, most stocks fell over 5%, today most only rose about 1%, with recovery much weaker than the decline. Market turnover was significantly lower than yesterday: SSE 931.4 billion, SZSE 1,151.4 billion. Funds mainly engaged in stock-to-stock battles; external incremental funds did not enter despite the rebound, indicating large funds see this as a weak bounce, not a reversal signal.
After a high open, the market quickly retreated, typical of a gap-up fade. During the session, the Electric Power sector led the rally, pulling indices up; in the afternoon, indices inexplicably rose, with the ChiNext turning red, likely driven by main funds via ETF stabilization rather than natural sector rotation, with no clear leading sector during the rise—an all-ships-up style support.
On the international front, rumors of US-Iran talks initially caused crude oil futures to plummet, then rumors were denied, and prices rebounded. While this temporarily eased global market panic, doubts remain due to past US credit issues, so the market lacks confidence in the news. US stocks closed higher yesterday but the Dow and Nasdaq remain in short-term downtrends without stabilization, with tech sectors under pressure, hinting at a possible tech correction in A-shares.
Overall, no major positive news supported the pre-market, and funds are cautious about a rebound, with only energy sectors seeing early positioning. News about Xiong’an New Area and electric bikes was not widely recognized, with no significant fund chasing.
2: Sector and Sentiment
Today’s market sentiment was characterized by high-standard crossing, mid-level pressure, and accelerated rotation, with sectors showing “fan rotation” without sustained main themes—only the Electric Power sector showed some continuity.
The Electric Power sector was the only one with sustained momentum today, with high-flyers Huadian Liaoning Power completing seven limit-up crossings, Zhongli Group’s one-word board aiding, Shao Energy rebounding to limit-up. The sector had divergence but no retreat, with clear control features—each time a sector nears a climax, some recognizable stocks are hammered down, keeping the sector “lukewarm,” allowing attack on power generation and defense on power supply, becoming the core crowded direction for funds.
Other sectors, like AI hardware, military, environmental protection, and photovoltaics, only saw sporadic first-limit-ups without broad fermentation, mostly old faces with arbitrage value. Xiong’an New Area and electric bikes were abandoned due to logical flaws, with very low upgrade rates.
Market sentiment-wise, Huadian Liaoning Power, as the top sector, did not fall sharply despite weaker bidding, instead becoming a good entry point for late funds, completing crossing, anchoring market sentiment. Zhongdong New Energy and other mid-cap stocks faced pressure, becoming sacrifices in crossing the high-standard threshold. Recognizable high-flyers with low-position rebounds had high value, while mid-cap stocks lacked follow-through, making it hard to continue rallying. First-limit-ups mostly involved power sector rebounds, with limited imagination and low upgrade success, indicating current funds prefer to group around high-flyers, with weak interest in new low-position stocks.
This recovery is not a natural market trend reversal but a weak rebound triggered by short-term international news and main force stabilization, lacking volume-confirmed bullish candles. Funds see it as a technical rebound after yesterday’s big drop, not an attack signal, leading to strong profit-taking and fast rotation. Under external risks (US stocks unstable, international news uncertain), funds focus on Electric Power sector as the core, due to its “attack or defend” nature. Compared to AI hardware, which relies on market volume and has strong attack but no hedging value, it’s hard to form a crowded main line. Quantitative funds are adjusting strategies, with clear control behaviors in the Electric Power sector, deliberately avoiding sector peaks to prevent excessive profit-taking and negative feedback. This control keeps the sector oscillating, serving as a “safe harbor” in a weak market, but also concentrates profits in a few core stocks, with most stocks rotating for arbitrage.
In the short term, the market will remain volatile; without volume-confirmed bullish candles, the rebound will be hard to sustain. The international news from US-Iran will dominate the market for the next five days, with external funds unlikely to enter easily. New themes are hard to ferment in bulk, and the market remains mainly stock-to-stock battles. Focus on core Electric Power stocks, the only main theme with fund grouping and recognition. Other sectors like AI hardware, military, and environmental protection are just rotation arbitrage, with low participation value and easy to be harvested by quant funds.
Future trading ideas for the next day, as well as short-term and low-position wave strategies, will be shared in the early morning thoughts. (Overnight expectations will be included in the daily review; if none, it means not optimistic.)
Technical Tips: ↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓
Super detailed trading and swing operation manual: Bidding determines life and death, intraday buy/sell, easy-to-understand trading system for beginners!
From Quantitative to Short-term: Core flexible techniques for chaotic trading periods. How to hedge risks, reduce account drawdowns, and stabilize profits!
Core Swing Trading Strategies
How to improve win rate on board hits, and how to operate on bad boards and volume surges the next day?
Operate only within your understanding
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