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#加密市场行情震荡 Key Factors Driving Volatility
1
Geopolitical Risks
The situation in the Strait of Hormuz involving the US and Iran remains uncertain, and the fragility of the ceasefire agreement causes market risk appetite to fluctuate repeatedly. War-related news is highly sensitive to mainstream cryptocurrencies.
2
Uncertainty in Federal Reserve Policies
Trump threatens to remove Powell from his position, and internal hawk-dove disagreements within the Federal Reserve intensify, challenging policy independence and affecting liquidity expectations. Tariff policies may lead to inflation and prompt capital controls.
3
Regulatory Policy Battles
The U.S. "Clear Act" is entering a critical sprint in the Senate, with a key window before May 21. The Hong Kong Web3 Carnival signals strong compliance, and the pilot program for Hong Kong dollar stablecoins is accelerating.
4
Institutional Capital Flows
Bitcoin ETF inflows have continued for six consecutive days, totaling $1.54 billion, with BlackRock holding over 400k BTC. However, Ethereum ETF capital outflows are still ongoing, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate has hit a new low since 2021.