A Golden Finance report stated that a trader exchanged TWAP for $8 million worth of BODEN during the peak of JUP. He sold $125,000 (only 0.5% of total assets), but kept the remaining BODEN, which has now lost nearly 98%. His $8 million is now worth only $85,000.

A Golden Finance report revealed that Rekt Capital's data shows that during the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin reached its peak 518 days after the halving; during the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin reached its peak 546 days after the halving. If history repeats itself, the next bull market peak will occur 518-546 days after the halving, which means that Bitcoin may reach the peak of this cycle in mid-September or mid-October 2025. Earlier this year, this cycle of Bitcoin accelerated by 260 days. However, due to the consolidation of more than 3 months, the acceleration rate has dropped significantly, currently at about 150 days. The longer the Bitcoin consolidation period after the halving, the better the resynchronization effect of the current cycle with the traditional halving cycle.

A Golden Finance report stated that as of July 4, 2024, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below the 200-day moving average (DMA), which is currently at $58,373. This is the first time since August 2023 that Bitcoin has dropped below this key technical indicator. Since the beginning of 2024, the price of Bitcoin has been rising, reaching a peak of over $70,000 in March. However, the recent drop below the 200 DMA suggests that the market may be entering a correction phase. De acordo com os dados da Glassnode, a interação entre o Bitcoin e a média móvel de 200 dias tem sido um indicador confiável para determinar tendências de mercado de alta ou baixa. Normalmente, quando o preço ultrapassa a média móvel de 200 dias, indica uma tendência significativa de alta, enquanto uma queda indica uma fase de mercado de baixa prolongada. A tendência atual do preço deve ser tratada com cautela, pois pode sinalizar o fim do ciclo de mercado de alta recente. Este movimento indica que os investidores precisam acompanhar de perto a direção futura dos preços no mercado do Bitcoin durante o processo de ajuste após o halving.

O Golden Finance reported that Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, posted on social media that the BTC market has long been driven by futures, but this trend has weakened compared to the last bull market. The spot trading volume has dropped by 63% from its peak. I believe that high spot trading volume is beneficial to the market.

A Golden Finance report stated that according to on-chain data released by CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin supply of miners is at its lowest level in 14 years. The amount of Bitcoin held by miners is decreasing, dropping by 50% from its peak.

Analysts believe that the bullish sentiment towards commodities seems to be gradually heating up on Wall Street, and they believe that gold, silver, and copper are far from reaching their peak.

Coinglass data shows that the open position of Ethereum futures contracts on the entire network has increased to 4.12 million ETH (equivalent to 1.56 billion US dollars), an increase of 5.19% in the past 24 hours. Calculated in US dollars, it continues to hit a new historical high (there is still a gap of 5 million ETH from the peak of 2022, calculated in ETH).

全网以太坊期货合约未平仓头寸近147亿美元，创历史新高 Contract positions of nearly $14.7 billion in open Ethereum futures contracts across the entire network, reaching a new all-time high. Coinglass data shows that the total open position of Ethereum futures contracts on the entire network has increased to 4.01 million ETH (equivalent to 14.69 billion US dollars), with a growth rate of 25.48% in the past 24 hours. It has reached a new all-time high in terms of USD (there is still a gap of 5 million ETH from the peak of 2022 calculated in ETH).

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A moeda mundial informou: o trader experiente Peter Brandt acredita que o Bitcoin pode ter atingido o pico deste ciclo em torno de US$ 70.000, com base em um modelo de decaimento exponencial. No entanto, o CEO da Quantonomy, Giovanni Santostasi, tem uma opinião diferente, afirmando que a teoria de Brandt carece de evidências estatísticas confiáveis. Santos Tasti proposed a power law model, suggesting that Bitcoin could reach over $70,000 before the end of this cycle. It is currently uncertain which model will be proven to be accurate.

O analista da plataforma de inteligência de indicadores on-chain e off-chain, Santiment, afirmou que, apesar do aumento contínuo no preço do Ethereum, as taxas de Gas na rede Ethereum caíram para o nível mais baixo em seis meses, o que pode indicar uma recuperação iminente das altcoins. Santiment explained that trader sentiment tends to peak at market tops and reach a low at market bottoms. In February of this year, Ethereum's Gas fees reached an eight-month high, and the current low fees may indicate an increase in future Ethereum network activity and the start of an altcoin recovery.

A report from Coinworld: In the first four months of 2024, despite the overall increase in the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, many tokens in the top stocks have experienced significant losses. Three tokens in the top 100 (Starknet, ORDI, and MultiversX) performed the worst, with losses ranging from 40% to 50%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum have achieved significant gains. So far this year, out of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, 37 have seen a decrease in their market value, while BTC and ETH have grown by 48.9% and 36.4% respectively. Despite an overall market capitalization growth of 40%, Bitcoin's dominant position has surged to a peak of 57%.

A Gameplanxrbu fechou uma rodada seed liderada por P2 Ventures, Emchain, OXFUN e Double Peak, por um valor não revelado.