Pesquisa da Reuters: espera-se que a Reserva Federal (FED) corte as taxas de juros mais duas vezes este ano, com um caminho de taxa de juros altamente incerto para 2026.

【Reuters Survey: Expecting the Federal Reserve to Cut Interest Rates Twice More This Year, Rate Path for 2026 Highly Uncertain】 A survey conducted by Reuters from October 15 to 21 among economists shows that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 pontos de base next week and in December. However, there is still a significant divergence among economists regarding the interest rate level by the end of next year. A month ago, economists predicted only one rate cut this year. But this new forecast follows a recent shift in expectations among Federal Reserve policymakers towards supporting further rate cuts. Among 117 economists, 115 predict the Federal Reserve will cut rates again by 25 pontos de base on October 29, bringing rates down to 3.75%-4.00%. Two economists expect a 25 pontos de base cut in October and a 50 pontos de base cut in December. The proportion of economists holding the view of another rate cut in December has fallen to 71%. Expectations among financial market traders are firmer, with interest rate futures contracts fully pricing in two more rate cuts this year. (金十)