Paul Veradettakit, Partner of Pantera Capital, released 6 predictions for the crypto space in 2024, including:
1.BTC Renaissance and "DeFi Summer 2.0": In 2024, users will see a proliferation of BTC L2 and other extensible layers to support smart contracts, BTC ecosystem may be combined with some kind of Turing-complete smart contract language. As BTC DeFi infrastructure matures, users may see BTC total value locked (TVL) of DeFi rise from the current $300 million (0.05% of < market capitalization) to 1-2% of BTC market capitalization (currently around $10-15 billion). BTC network NFTs will also become more and more popular;
2. More tokenized social experiences: Tokenization plays a key role in reinventing the social experience. Fungible tokens are more likely to be novel forms of points and loyalty systems, while non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are more likely to act as profiles and social resources. Both can be traded on-chain and participate in the DeFi ecosystem;
3. Increase in TradFi-DeFi "bridges" such as stablecoins and mirror assets: Institutional adoption is expected to increase significantly, and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) and TradFi financial products will be sought in addition to ETFs. TradFi assets will be "mirrored" in DeFi, while crypto assets will increase their exposure in the TradFi market, creating a TradFi-DeFi "bridge" that will bring the two worlds closer together, thereby increasing liquidity and diversification for investors;
4. Fusion of Modular Narrative and ZK Narrative: Zero-knowledge proofs will be the interface between different components of the modular blockchain stack. This provides more flexibility for developers building DApps and lowers the barrier to entry for the blockchain stack;
5. More compute-intensive applications on-chain, such as AI and DePIN: Computationally expensive applications will become more economically viable on-chain in the near future. This includes vertical applications such as on-chain AI systems, decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), on-chain knowledge graphs, and fully on-chain gaming and social networks. All of this has the potential to fundamentally reshape the on-chain data economy, dramatically improving the experience for users and developers as they move away from onerous gas fees and severe restrictions on computing power;
6. Public chain integration and the "hub-and-spoke" model of the appchain: The L1 and L2 that have proliferated in the past few years are not really much different from users, and smaller ecosystems must focus on specific verticals (e.g., social, gaming, DeFi) to maintain an advantage, so as to effectively become an "appchain" or "track chain".