Analiz: Fed'in faiz indirimi, düşüş ve resesyon olasılığını azaltabilir, ancak sıfıra düşüremez.

Gold Ten Data, August 7th news: TS Lombard US economist Steven Blit: If the Fed does not take action early, people will look for signs that the economy is heading for a recession rather than indicators of a recession itself. The constantly emerging weak data is not a serious crime against rising, but it will cause problems. If the Fed stagnates or waits for data to push forward, they will repeat the same mistakes, and the likelihood of entering a recession later this year will rise to 75%. Given that the Fed is expected to send a signal to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, the actual probability is even smaller. By the end of the year, they may cut interest rates by 100 basis points. If the Fed takes action, the probability of a recession will be lower, but not zero.