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Mr. Yen is optimistic about appreciating to 130 in 2025, but the short-term exchange rate faces a test at the 150 barrier.
The Bank of Japan's policy shift has caused market turmoil, with the yen depreciating by 4% against the US dollar in October. The divergence between expectations and reality has caused hedge funds to miss interest rate hike expectations. Analysts predict that the yen may test 150 in the short term, and possibly even 155, but Hidetaka Sakakibara remains cautiously optimistic, believing that the yen could appreciate to 130 before 2025. The key factors are the US-Japan interest rate differential and the performance of the US economy.
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Forex trading beginners must-read: Understand 5 core concepts to reduce loss risks
With a daily trading volume of over 6 trillion USD, the foreign exchange market is the most liquid financial market in the world. An increasing number of retail traders are participating — over 30% of forex trading is now conducted by individual investors. But the harsh reality is that statistics show 70%-90% of retail investors have experienced losses. The root cause is not the market itself, but the traders' insufficient understanding of mechanisms like leverage and margin.
This article will break down 5 core points of forex investing to help beginners establish correct perceptions and avoid detours.
What are the ways to invest in forex? From capital preservation to high-risk options, a spectrum of choices
Forex investing is not limited to just one method. Depending on risk tolerance and capital scale, investors can choose different participation approaches:
Lowest risk method: foreign currency exchange and foreign currency fixed deposits
Foreign currency exchange in daily life — such as converting your home currency into local currency when traveling abroad — is actually the simplest
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AUD 20-Year Trend Review: Why Has It Been Under Long-Term Pressure? Will the Pattern Change in 2026?
The Australian dollar, as the fifth-largest trading volume currency globally (ranking: USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, AUD), has always been a focus of international investors' attention regarding its exchange rate trends. The AUD/USD currency pair ranks fifth in global trading activity, characterized by high liquidity and low spreads, making it suitable for short-term or medium-to-long-term positioning.
However, when viewed over a longer time scale, the overall performance of the Australian dollar over the past 20 years has been disappointing. From 2005 to the present, the AUD has experienced multiple cycles, but the long-term trend has remained weak. Especially during the ten years from early 2013 to 2023, the AUD/USD depreciated by over 35%, while the US dollar index increased by 28.35% during the same period, reflecting a comprehensive "strong dollar cycle." Other major currencies such as the euro, yen, and Canadian dollar also depreciated against the dollar, indicating that the weakness of the AUD is not an isolated phenomenon.
Why has the AUD continued to weaken over the past 20 years? The complex relationship between commodity cycles and exchange rates
The Australian dollar as
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Behind the Australian Dollar Exchange Rate Surge: Inflation Runs Hot Sparks Central Bank Shift, 2026 Rate Hike Expectations Emerge
The AUD/USD recently experienced a strong rebound, rising 0.6% to 0.6505 on November 26, marking the fourth consecutive day of gains. However, behind this upward momentum lies a deeper shift in market logic—the Australian Central Bank's easing cycle may have come to an end.
Inflation Data Triggers Market Expectation Adjustment
The October CPI year-over-year increase of 3.8% became a key turning point. This data not only exceeded market expectations of 3.6%, but more importantly, it shattered the market's optimistic assumption of a mild inflation decline in Australia. Analysts at Capital Macro bluntly stated that, based on this data, there are almost no signs of inflationary pressure easing, and the window for the central bank to cut interest rates is rapidly closing.
What is more threatening is that the upcoming GDP data may further confirm rising economic capacity pressures. If this expectation materializes, the Australian Central Bank's months-long easing cycle will officially come to an end.
Central Bank Policy Stance Changes
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How to strategize after the Nikkei 225 breaks the 40,000 level? Recommended Japanese stocks and investment guide [2025 Edition]
In 2025, the Japanese stock market experienced a remarkable rebound. After a brief correction in April, the Japanese stock market quickly launched a strong rally, with performance in May and June being particularly impressive. By the end of June, the Nikkei 225 index surged past 40,487 points, hitting a nearly one-year high and firmly standing above the 40,000 mark. So, the question is: can this upward trend continue? Which Japanese stocks are worth paying attention to? How should ordinary investors participate?
Why did the Nikkei 225 soar? How long can the rebound logic last?
The recent rise in the Japanese stock market fundamentally stems from a reassessment of the fundamentals of Japanese companies, combined with the resonance of structural advantages.
In April, global markets fell into panic due to trade policy expectations, and the P/E ratio of the Nikkei index temporarily dropped to 12 times, making it much cheaper compared to major international stock markets. As pessimistic expectations gradually corrected, investors began to realize that previous concerns were overdone, and the P/E ratio
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Are arms stocks worth buying? An investment guide to defense stocks amid global geopolitical crises
Why is now a good opportunity for defense stocks?
Over the past year, regional conflicts have been frequent—Ukrainian-Russian conflict, escalating tensions in the Middle East, and governments worldwide adjusting their defense budgets accordingly. China, Taiwan, and the United States are all increasing military spending. This is not a coincidence but stems from a fundamental shift in understanding: modern warfare has entered an era dominated by technology.
Drones, precision missiles, and information warfare have replaced traditional manpower tactics. Countries aim to achieve defense objectives with fewer personnel and higher efficiency, directly driving demand growth in the defense industry.
Warren Buffett once said that good investments require three elements: enough wet snow, a long enough runway, and a deep moat. Defense stocks happen to meet all three criteria.
What are the unique advantages of defense stocks?
Extremely long industry cycle
Throughout history, international conflicts have never ceased. This means that military procurement demand is sustainable and will not disappear during economic downturns. Compared to the cyclical fluctuations of civilian technology industries, the defense sector offers a more stable and enduring growth trajectory.
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Silver surges to a new high within the year? US Treasury yields plunge, boosting prices, bulls poised to advance
Yield Decline Sparks Silver Rally
Recently, silver prices touched $51.37, driven primarily by a significant decline in U.S. Treasury yields. This drop broke the previous interest rate environment, weakened the dollar's attractiveness, and provided upward momentum for dollar-denominated silver.
Technical Signals Indicate Strength
Based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the current trend favors the bulls. In the short term, silver continues its rebound as long as it successfully breaks through the key resistance level of $52.46 (the high created on November 13). This could further challenge the year-to-date high of $54.46. Once this important level is reclaimed, the new milestone of $55.00 will come into traders' view.
Downside Risks to Watch
Bearish risks should not be overlooked. If silver falls below $51.00, it will face support at $50.00. If this level is broken
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Martingale Investment Method: The Realities and Risks Cryptocurrency Traders Need to Know
Introduction: From Gambling to Financial Strategies
The Martingale strategy, originating in 18th-century France, is not just a gambling technique but also a capital management approach that has attracted the attention of many traders in modern cryptocurrency investing. In 1934, Paul Pierre Levy analyzed this method using probability theory, and in 1939, statistician Jean Ville established the name "Martingale." However, there is a significant gap between theory and practice.
Basic Mechanism of the Martingale Strategy
The essence of this investment method is extremely simple. It follows the rule of doubling the investment amount after each loss, with a probabilistic approach that eventually covers all losses with profits.
具体的
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What does the temporary choice of the old man mean?
Once, I casually chatted with an old man at the market, and I asked him curiously, "Your business looks pretty average, why do you insist on setting up your stall every day?"
The old man looked at me with a meaningful gaze and slowly shared his "life philosophy": As long as I keep busy outside, my daughter-in-law will naturally bring food over at noon, and my wife will have prepared the meals by the time I get home in the evening. If I stay at home all day doing nothing, my daughter-in-law will not be as pleased with me, and my wife will nag
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Gold price target significantly raised, UBS lifts 2026 outlook
UBS Group has revised its gold price target for 2026 upwards to $5,000 per ounce, citing bullish market factors. However, it predicts a slight decline to around $4,800 by the year's end, while still indicating robust market conditions.
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Satoshi Nakamoto's enormous Bitcoin holdings influence the world's wealthiest rankings
Satoshi Nakamoto's estimated 1 million BTC has fluctuated significantly, reaching a peak value of $96 billion. Unlike traditional assets, Bitcoin's worth is driven by market demand, indicating its integration into the global economy.
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Why ISO 20022 Crypto Coins Are the Bridge Between Traditional Finance and Blockchain
Think of ISO 20022 as the Rosetta Stone for finance. Right now, 72% of major banks are already ISO 20022 compliant, and by 2025, this standard is expected to become the global norm. But here's what most people don't realize: this shift isn't just about banks getting fancy new protocols. It's about c
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Why Banks Are Betting Big on ISO 20022 Crypto: The Future of Finance Interoperability
When SWIFT, Fedwire, and traditional payment networks speak different languages, money moves slowly. Enter ISO 20022—a global standardization framework that's reshaping how financial institutions handle digital assets. Unlike older protocols, ISO 20022 uses XML-based messaging to pack richer
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Must-read before buying U.S. Treasury bonds | Complete investment guide to U.S. Treasury bonds
Why should you buy U.S. Treasury bonds?
U.S. Treasury bonds (also known as U.S. government bonds) are bonds issued by the U.S. government to the market, serving as debt certificates. The government commits to paying principal and interest within a specified period. Due to the U.S. government's top credit rating worldwide, U.S. Treasury bonds are considered one of the safest investment tools, offering stable cash flow and high liquidity.
Many domestic and international institutional investors and individuals include them as an important part of their investment portfolios to balance risk and achieve stable returns.
What are the three ways for Taiwanese investors to buy U.S. bonds?
1. Direct purchase of bonds (Secondary Market)
Purchase existing government bonds through overseas brokers or via entrusted trading. Compared to domestic entrusted trading, overseas brokers offer more varieties and lower costs.
Purchase process: Open a securities account → Search for bond codes or set filtering criteria → Place an order at market price or limit price → Hold and receive periodic interest payments
Advantages: Highest liquidity
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Understanding NFP's Critical Role in Global Financial Markets
How Non-Farm Payrolls Shape Investment Opportunities Across Multiple Asset Classes
The monthly Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report stands as one of the most influential economic releases in the financial world. Beyond being just another employment statistic, NFP data acts as a barometer for U.S. econom
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Ethereum's Smart Contract Ecosystem Climbing to 8.7M Deployment Milestone Amid Developer Growth
Ethereum has reached a significant infrastructure milestone, with smart contract deployments climbing to 8.7 million in Q4 2025—marking the network's strongest quarter yet. This achievement reflects more than just technical expansion; it signals growing confidence from the development community
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The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike triggers a massive market震荡, global assets dance together, and silver hits a new high approaching $67
The Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates with a single move is like dropping a heavy bomb, causing waves in the global financial markets. The 25 basis point rate hike seems moderate, but it instantly reshapes the risk landscape of carry trades. As the yen's rally cools, USD/JPY instead surges by 1.39%, approaching the 158.0 level. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Katayama immediately issued a firm warning—stating that appropriate measures will be taken against excessive exchange rate fluctuations. Behind this statement lies a deep anxiety about a potential shift in central bank policy.
Commodity markets fluctuate, with silver breaking out to hit a historic high
The most notable change occurs in the precious metals market. Driven by strong investment demand and supply tensions, silver prices quickly broke through the $67.0 level, setting a new record. This rally indicates an increasing market demand for physical assets as a hedge, with commodities showing more characteristics of high account assets. During the same period, gold closed with a doji for the second consecutive day, with technical indicators showing a stalemate.
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The Complete Guide to the Four Key Concepts of Futures Trading: Opening Positions, Closing Positions, Liquidation, and Rollover
Investors often find themselves confused by professional terms such as liquidation, open interest, margin call, and rollover when entering the futures or leverage trading markets. These concepts may seem complex, but once understood thoroughly, they can become powerful tools to reduce risk and improve trading efficiency. This article will delve into these core concepts to help you establish correct trading awareness.
Opening and Closing Positions: The Beginning and End of Trading
Closing a position is one of the most fundamental actions in trading activities. Simply put, closing a position means ending your trading position—whether selling stocks, futures, or other assets, it counts as a closing.
Opening a position is the opposite of closing, representing the starting point of a trade. When you are optimistic about an asset (such as Apple stock AAPL) and decide to buy or short sell, that moment is opening a position. At this point, although you have established a position, your profit or loss is still just on paper and has not yet been locked in.
Only when you
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Foreign Currency Investment Guide: How Do Beginners Choose Investment Channels? Which Foreign Currencies Are Suitable for Beginners?
Want to increase returns through foreign currency investment but don't know where to start? The foreign currency market may seem complex, but as long as you grasp the correct direction, beginners can also achieve stable profits. This article will give you a comprehensive understanding of the logic behind foreign currency investment, channel selection, currency evaluation, and practical operation tips.
Foreign Currency vs. Forex: Concepts You Must Clarify
Many people confuse the concepts of "foreign currency" and "forex." Simply put:
Foreign currency refers to all foreign currencies other than the domestic currency and is the main focus in daily forex market discussions.
Forex has a broader scope, including foreign banknotes, coins, payment certificates (bills, deposit certificates), securities (government bonds, corporate bonds, stocks), and other foreign currency assets. Forex is a general term used for international trade settlement, capital adjustment, and national reserves.
In short: Forex trading involves buying and selling foreign currencies, and foreign currency investment is the basic form of forex trading.
Why Taiwanese People
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Complete Guide to Cryptocurrency Airdrops: From How They Work to Important Tips
Introduction
In the world of cryptocurrencies, "airdrops" are one of the important opportunities that investors pay attention to. This system, where tokens or NFTs are distributed for free just by meeting certain conditions, is rapidly expanding around 2024–2025, mainly focusing on layer 2 projects and AI-related stocks.
This guide comprehensively explains everything from the basics of airdrops, how to receive them, to the risks to be aware of when participating, making it useful for both beginners and experienced users. To utilize airdrops efficiently, accurate knowledge and proper information gathering are essential.
Contents
- [Definition and Basic Concepts of Airdrops](1)
- [Purpose of Implementation and Market Impact](2)
- [Classification of Airdrops
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