AlphaExtract

Be cautious. Falling momentum has been mentioned several times as a warning sign. What matters isn't just the level of global liquidity, but whether it is expanding or slowing. Right now, both momentum and overall liquidity growth are weakening. Previously, liquidity momentum

Arguably this is a confirmed thesis for now, with the way markets are auctioning today. $BTC still has to break through the 70.2k level (weekly resistance) and get outside the current range, but this is a good start toward it.

An early weekend sign, but a sign nevertheless. $BTC

If you're not using choppy markets to level up, you're not going to make it. Simple as that.

$BTC, $ETH, and $SOL, are all entering a volatility contraction phase, which usually precedes a large and volatile move. None of the three really reacted to the war news either, which is surprising but also not really. The market became numb after so many war and tariff

Decent read. This type of mindset should apply to anything you aim for in life, imo.

MCI direct link:

MCI is now very close to flipping long. As explained already, usually use this one as that heavy-added confluence for setups, hence the big emphasis on it - it helped us de-risk significantly at 114k. Looking at the current PA, we finally swept some lows and price is reacting

Your greatest edge isn't even a model or a setup - it's defeating your internal resistance. Conquer the ego, excuses, and addictions to comfort. Do that, and you'll outperform most without even trying.

We're starting to see late-stage behavior in the RoC metric. The 12-month RoC is rising and showing early signs of stalling around levels where Bitcoin has historically peaked. Not quite there yet, but it's getting close. At the same time, the 3-month RoC is surging, which could

Our Gold Fair Value model currently shows a significant dislocation. Based on this alone, Bitcoin appears materially undervalued relative to gold. The model-implied fair value is approximately $98.5k, meaning Bitcoin is trading at a notable discount to its historical

Spot on, Naval. Would love to hear which branch you served in as a proud citizen. Also, when did your kids enlist?

Direct link:

New open-source indicator shared on TradingView: - Premium Price Action Link below.

A few days later, and we've got some form of a base in the making. I think we still go lower in the short term, but ultimately seller exhaustion feels overdue.

Looking at price through the lens of Cycle Bands adds more of the same confluence. To trigger a buy signal right now, price would have to drop to $47k - which, whether you're a blind bull or bear, would look like a very lucrative opportunity to buy BTC.

Bitcoin continues to show a significant divergence against global liquidity RoC. As mentioned in last week's post, this setup has occurred only rarely in Bitcoin's price history. If it persists, we might see a surprise rally while bears call for lower. The main factor that

Bringing back the 3-month payment option as requested. If you encounter any issues as an active Premium member, when changing the payment option, just reach out directly as always. Appreciate all the suggestions, questions, and criticism - please keep them coming!

Price has now spent roughly two weeks trading below the Liquidity Power Law's bottom band. Structurally, BTC hasn't changed much. This makes it very tempting to just deploy DCA systems and sit tight. But here's what kind of bothers me. The more widely accepted this 'easy

Just finished reading some CBDC articles, lmao yes I was that bored for a moment. 130+ countries are exploring or piloting CBDCs. That's roughly 98% of global GDP moving toward state-issued digital currency. Ask yourself one question: why now?