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BTC_POWER_LA
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BTC_POWER_LA
PMI and BTC correlation. Big deal has been done on this correlation. Right now seems to be broken, PMI is growing but BTC is experiencing a strong negative correction.
BTC2,9%
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Look at the long time trend. Still on the path.
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Returns are more revealing than price itself. The extreme negative returns we had in the last few days are comparable to what we experienced during COVID. In both cases we had strong subsequent bounces.
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MrPi27111:
k gaiog oah hoai iga ig avi vạvaobka bka iv:Power Law Quantile model, right now the quantile is 0.14. Support is strong around 0.05.
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This chart shows a decoupling between liquidity and BTC price starting in September 2025. Liquidity keeps growing while BTC price suffered a severe correction. Hopefully this is disconnect is temporary. Eventually price catches up to the ever growing money supply.
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The bull run didn’t reach the theoretical ~$200k target, but the timing of the cycle peak was not far from where it was expected to occur.As I’ve said before, we still need more data. That said, a plausible interpretation so far is that the 4-year cycle remains structurally intact, but this time the bull run was suppressed.If the bear market lasts as long as in previous cycles, we would expect it to bottom out around October this year at around 70K.So are we expecting side movement for the next few months?
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Adaptive power law based on Bayesian regression.
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This evening at around 5 PM PST we will have a "Bitcoin Live Show with the Minotaur and Power Law Teams". The show will be here on X, YouTube and Twitch.
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I\'m working on a deep Macro analysis of gold, silver and Bitcoin. I will post this analysis in a couple of days.
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Bitcoin and Bitcoin may be funded by the devil himself, it doesn\'t matter, in fact the worse the source of the funding the better the transformation into beneficial money for humankind.
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Bitcoin Is Physics, I agree with Arduino.
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The power law has not failed, it is actually truer than ever.
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Panel at Bitcoin Capital Summit in El Salvador.
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How the power law has failed?
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I have not been absent but working for Bitcoin harder than ever. Big things coming. For once official presentation to the world of the Scientific Bitcoin Institute in El Salvador on February 1st. Stay tuned.
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In El Salvador finally for PlanB conference. Hotel is quaint.
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Scientific Bitcoin Institute Director look.
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People have the wrong interpretation of the power law. They think in bands around the power law. These are relatively large (we shown in the past that they are not if one focuses on where Bitcoin spends most of its time).
But really the concepts of bands is not what matters in terms of understanding the true Bitcoin behavior. One has to use the language of normalized returns or daily slopes to truly understand the significance of the power law.
1. The core problem: raw returns are misleading
If you look at Bitcoin’s raw daily returns or raw price changes, you immediately face two problems:
N
But really the concepts of bands is not what matters in terms of understanding the true Bitcoin behavior. One has to use the language of normalized returns or daily slopes to truly understand the significance of the power law.
1. The core problem: raw returns are misleading
If you look at Bitcoin’s raw daily returns or raw price changes, you immediately face two problems:
N
BTC2,9%
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