Sand谋3S

BTC Technical Outlook: Bitcoin Consolidates Near Macro Base After Breakdown Below 0.236
Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase after failing to sustain acceptance above the $85,000–$93,000 resistance region, which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
Repeated rejection from this supply cluster, combined with the breakdown below the ascending support structure, confirmed a transition from bullish continuation into a broader corrective trend.
Price is currently consolidating near the $66,000–$70,000 region, forming a short-term base after an extended decline from the $100K+ highs. This area now acts as a critical decision zone for BTC’s next directional move.
EMA Structure (Bearish to Neutral Bias)
20 EMA: $72,128
50 EMA: $79,647
100 EMA: $86,679
200 EMA: $93,349
BTC is trading below all major EMAs, with the 20 & 50 EMA cluster acting as immediate dynamic resistance.
The EMA alignment remains bearish, confirming sellers still dominate medium-term momentum. Any upside attempt is likely to face supply between $72,000–$80,000 unless reclaimed with strong volume and continuation.
Fibonacci & Price Structure
0.786 Fib: $111,968
0.618 Fib: $100,856
0.5 Fib: $93,051
0.382 Fib: $85,246
0.236 Fib: $75,589
Fib 0 (Macro Base): $59,980
BTC failed to hold above the 0.382–0.5 cluster, confirming continuation of the corrective structure.
Price has decisively broken below the 0.236 ($75,589) level and is now stabilizing above the macro base region.
A breakdown below $66,000 would expose BTC to the $60,000 macro base, while holding this zone could allow a relief bounce toward higher resistance levels.
RSI Momentum
RSI is currently trading around 32–35, reflecting neutral-bearish momentum.
While downside momentum has slowed after reaching near-oversold conditions, RSI remains below the 50 equilibrium level — suggesting consolidation rather than confirmed reversal.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$72,000–$75,500 (EMA + 0.236 zone)
$85,246 (0.382 Fib)
$93,051 (0.5 Fib)
$100,856 (0.618 Fib)
Support
$66,000–$68,000 (local demand)
$59,980 (macro base / Fib 0)
RSI: 32–35 — neutral-bearish
📌 Summary
Bitcoin is consolidating after a prolonged corrective decline, holding above a critical demand zone near $66K.
While selling pressure has cooled and price is attempting stabilization, the broader structure remains bearish below $75,500–$85,000.
A sustained recovery requires BTC to reclaim $75,589 (0.236) and then stabilize above $85K, while a breakdown below $66K would likely trigger continuation toward the $60K macro base.
$BTC ‌#What’sNextforBitcoin?

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The BENJI token, issued by Franklin Templeton through its Benji platform, represents the world's first US-registered (SEC-approved) tokenized money market fund (MMF) share. The fund's official name is Franklin OnChain U.S. Government Money Fund (FOBXX) – launched in 2021, and it's the first regulated mutual fund to record and hold ownership of transactions using blockchain technology.
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#FranklinAdvancesTokenizedMMFs

#CPIDataAhead
US consumer inflation (CPI) data was released today and generally received positively by the market.
According to the data for January 2026, annual inflation fell to 2.4%. This represents a drop from 2.7% in December and is slightly below the 2.5% expected by economists. On a monthly basis, prices increased by only 0.2%, which painted a calmer picture than expected.
Core inflation (excluding food and energy) remained at 2.5% annually, which was in line with expectations without any major surprises. Overall, inflation appears to be slowing; particularly influenced by falling gasoline prices and a slowdown in rent increases.
This result may keep expectations of an interest rate cut alive, but it also suggests that the Fed may not rush. We can say that the markets breathed a sigh of relief – a positive signal for stocks and risky assets.
The next CPI data (February) will be released on March 11, 2026.

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Developments in the Last 72 Hours
February 6 Muscat Talks: The US side included figures such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iran was represented by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The Iranian side described the talks as a "good start" and stated that it was "a long way to go in building trust." US President Donald Trump described the talks as "very good" and announced that a new round would be held next week. Iran's Red Lines:
The talks will be limited to the nuclear issue only.
Reducing uranium enrichment to zero is absolutely unacceptable — "Enrichment is Iran's right" (Araghchi, February 8).
The ballistic missile program and regional allies (Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) are absolutely out of the question.
The US military buildup in the region is seen as a "provocation."
US Demands:
Zero uranium enrichment.
Severely limiting the range of ballistic missiles.
Completely cutting off support to proxy forces in the region. Addressing human rights violations and the suppression of protests.
Although Iran signaled flexibility regarding the dilution of highly enriched uranium (February 9th statements), this offer has not yet been deemed sufficient by the US.
Elements of Turmoil
While the Iranian side conveyed the message that "the US is not serious, they will not be able to intimidate us," it was simultaneously reported that Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missiles were being deployed and tested in underground facilities.
The US warned its citizens to "leave Iran immediately" before the talks and continues to keep the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier group in the Gulf.
Iranian domestic politics are also tense: Repression continues, with thousands of protesters killed, and the regime is hardening its stance.
The Israeli factor: Netanyahu will discuss the Iran issue with Trump at the White House on February 11th. Israel considers the talks a "time-gaining tactic" and demands a comprehensive agreement.
General Assessment
The current situation is proceeding on a fine line between diplomacy and military tension. Both sides say "let's keep talking," but there are no concrete concessions. The Iranian regime appears to be trying to buy time, while the Trump administration is pursuing a "maximalist" deal and keeping the military option on the table in case of failure. In short: Although the talks are presented as a "good start," the hashtag #USIranNuclearTalksTurmoil is trending precisely because of this: A real deal is not in sight; stalemate and tension prevail. What the next round (likely this week) brings is critically important.

Developments in the Last 72 Hours
February 6 Muscat Talks: The US side included figures such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iran was represented by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The Iranian side described the talks as a "good start" and stated that it was "a long way to go in building trust." US President Donald Trump described the talks as "very good" and announced that a new round would be held next week. Iran's Red Lines:
The talks will be limited to the nuclear issue only.
Reducing uranium enrichment to zero is absolutely unacceptable — "Enrichment is Iran's right" (Araghchi, February 8).
The ballistic missile program and regional allies (Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) are absolutely out of the question.
The US military buildup in the region is seen as a "provocation."
US Demands:
Zero uranium enrichment.
Severely limiting the range of ballistic missiles.
Completely cutting off support to proxy forces in the region. Addressing human rights violations and the suppression of protests.
Although Iran signaled flexibility regarding the dilution of highly enriched uranium (February 9th statements), this offer has not yet been deemed sufficient by the US.
Elements of Turmoil
While the Iranian side conveyed the message that "the US is not serious, they will not be able to intimidate us," it was simultaneously reported that Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missiles were being deployed and tested in underground facilities.
The US warned its citizens to "leave Iran immediately" before the talks and continues to keep the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier group in the Gulf.
Iranian domestic politics are also tense: Repression continues, with thousands of protesters killed, and the regime is hardening its stance.
The Israeli factor: Netanyahu will discuss the Iran issue with Trump at the White House on February 11th. Israel considers the talks a "time-gaining tactic" and demands a comprehensive agreement.
General Assessment
The current situation is proceeding on a fine line between diplomacy and military tension. Both sides say "let's keep talking," but there are no concrete concessions. The Iranian regime appears to be trying to buy time, while the Trump administration is pursuing a "maximalist" deal and keeping the military option on the table in case of failure. In short: Although the talks are presented as a "good start," the hashtag #USIranNuclearTalksTurmoil is trending precisely because of this: A real deal is not in sight; stalemate and tension prevail. What the next round (likely this week) brings is critically important.

Iran's uranium enrichment program is at a critical point, both technically and politically, as of February 2026. Below, I summarize the current situation, levels, stockpiles, facilities, and recent developments.
Enrichment Levels and Meanings
Uranium enrichment increases the proportion of the fissionable U-235 isotope:
3–5% → Normal nuclear power plant fuel (low enriched uranium – LEU)
20% → Intermediate level (used for research reactors, medical isotope production)
60% → Highly enriched uranium (HEU) – very close to weapons production (critical threshold for breakout)
90%+ → Weapons-grade uranium (WGU)
Iran enriches up to 60%, a level highlighted by the IAEA as the only non-nuclear weapons state. Current Stockpile Status (End of 2025 – Beginning of 2026)
According to the latest IAEA reports and statements (data from May-June 2025 and subsequent estimates):
60% enriched uranium stockpile: Pre-war (June 2025) it was approximately 408–440 kg. This amount could theoretically produce enough weapon-grade material for 9–10 nuclear bombs if further enriched (approximately 25 kg of WGU per bomb is assumed).
Following the US and Israeli attacks in June 2025:
The enrichment facilities in Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan were heavily damaged.
Enrichment activities were officially halted (official Iranian statement).
However, a large portion of the 60% stockpile is lost/in an unknown location as it was moved before the attack (the IAEA last confirmed its location on June 10, 2025).
As of February 2026, Iran does not appear to be producing new stockpiles, but the current stockpile remains a major concern.
#USIranNuclearTalksTurmoil