Mercury639

my take on the macro is:
I'm just as clueless as ever, but so are the 'experts'.

nothing to do tonight. this should be a fun game to watch

saw something the other day about how "taking great trades isn't hard; it's difficult to not do anything stupid in the meantime"
it's true.
my suggestion is: distract yourself.
if you're blessed enough to be in good health, have family around you, are able to to travel, or even just go enjoy nature / a hobby, you should absolutely make the most of that - especially as the market is underwhelming
the first step towards abundance is expressing gratitude for the things you already have.

I can remain solvent longer than this market can remain irrational.

the absolute state of the crypto market.

$BTC
don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation. don't be a deviation.

$BTC flipped the inflection point
local Range Highs + 4H 200MAs trend now looking to be support
I traded it poorly, but analysis hasn't changed: a reclaim of this region allows for a larger rally towards ~$82k as a general target
12H 200MAs (weekly trend portrayal) as resistance confluence with December Range Lows
goodluck to all.

CT is not used to people being open about their losses/fumbles
they’re used to people winning every time and running around with ego in hopes to become the main character
this is what I meant by “you will watch me do it again”
you saw me trade with uncanny precision for several months in a row
before that happened, I was bullish at the pico-top
you saw how I adapted in order to win heavily
you just saw me close a trade too early before the move occurred
you can watch me do it all over again.

there was a person on here who I considered a mutual, interacted with a few times, etc.
then one day they made a post berating me abt a month ago, and quickly deleted it
I thought it was odd, but people not liking me on the internet isn't new so thought nothing of it
for context: I've been very vocal about how selling indicators is a scam. no indicator works by itself. not a single one. and if it does, you wouldn't have access to it.
I've stated this several times over the years, just out of random, and a few times as of recent.
fast forward to today, I just realized that influencer is selling

$SPY trading below 4H 200MAs for the first time since May 2025
it's not looking great, family
stay safe out there.

this chart is responsible for spiking my cortisol

charts looking like they got struck by a drone

idk man I watched CT overcomplicate the most obvious trend shift after 3yrs of bullmarket and then doompost about war at the lows after a -50% move
seems like a good spot for a larger relief bounce
if I'm wrong, so be it.

Trump presented a bill that bans people in congress from trading stocks using insider information
do you know who votes on it?
Congress.

good morning CT

crypto market has held up well considering the war events
bad news no longer having an effect is a good sign for higher prices
the real tell will be when stocks open, but so far it’s looking like March will be fun
goodluck to all.