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On January 4, 2026, at 14:00 (UTC+8), ETH is currently priced at 3132 USD. The intraday trend is relatively strong, but the 4-hour RSI is overbought, indicating a short-term pullback and correction may be needed. The bullish structure remains intact.
1. Key Levels (USD)
- Immediate Support: 3100-3110 (intraday retracement level)
- Strong Support: 3070-3080 (yesterday's low + 20 EMA)
- Extreme Support: 3020-3000 (uptrend line + psychological level)
- Immediate Resistance: 3150-3160 (today's high + psychological level)
- Strong Resistance: 3180-3200 (previous dense trading zone)
- Ultimate Resistance: 3220-3250 (Murray 5/8 resonance level)
2. Technical Highlights
- Daily Chart: Breakout above the upper boundary of consolidation, moving averages are in a bullish alignment, 200 EMA has turned into support, volume is gradually increasing.
- 4-Hour Chart: RSI > 70 indicating overbought conditions, a pullback correction is needed, bullish structure remains unbroken.
- Hourly Chart: High-level sideways movement, caution against a quick reversal after a rally, prefer to wait for a retracement before deploying.
- On-chain: Staking volume steadily rising, ecosystem active, buying support is strong.
3. Trading Strategies by Type
- Spot Trading (Conservative): Wait for a pullback to 3100-3110 to build positions in batches, stop loss at 3070, target 3150-3160, break below to watch 3180-3200; position size ≤50%, avoid chasing highs.
- Spot Investment (DCA): Weekly dollar-cost averaging of 1-3% of total funds, add up to 5% if price dips below 3070, no short-term stop loss, long-term target above 3220.
- Futures (Long): Wait for a pullback to 3100-3110 to establish long positions, stop loss at 3070, target 3150-3160, break below to watch 3180-3200; position size ≤30%, leverage ≤3x.
- Futures (Short): Short at resistance around 3150-3160 if weakening, stop loss at 3180, target 3100-3110, break below to watch 3070-3080; short-term only, position size ≤20%.
- Futures (Aggressive): Light positions at current price, only hold above 3120, stop loss at 3100, same targets as conservative, quick entry and exit, avoid holding through battles.
4. Risk Management Reminder
- Weekend liquidity is low, volatility can amplify, stop loss immediately if breakdown occurs.
- If support at 3070 is lost, bullish trend is questionable, consider switching to observation or short-term short positions.
- Leverage ≤3x, futures position ≤30%, spot ≤50%, avoid full positions and chasing highs.

1.4 Bitcoin Market Analysis
#我的2026第一条帖

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Today's Topic Recommendations:
🔹 BTC has once again broken above $90,000, while ETH has surged past $3,100 — does this signal the brewing of a new trend-driven market cycle?
🔹 Rotation among established altcoins and meme coins continues, with ENA, ADA, and SUI posting gains of over 10% in the past 24 hours
🔹 U.S. crypto-related stocks are broadly higher at the start of the year, with BMNR up 14.88% and NAKA gaining 16.26%
🔹 The Crypto Fear Index has rebounded to 29, indicating a further easing of market “fear” sentiment
🔹 Bitcoin miner Bitfarms has sold its Latin American operations for $30 million, continuing its strategic pivot toward AI and high-performance computing (HPC)
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